Crypto Today: Will Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP Defy History and Turn August Bullish?
August has been a graveyard for crypto gains—but this year, the bulls are charging.
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP are flirting with breakout moves as traders bet against seasonal trends. Can they rewrite the script?
Here’s the playbook:
- Bitcoin: The OG crypto’s resilience is testing bears’ patience. A close above $40K could trigger a FOMO stampede.
- Ethereum: Merge upgrades are fueling whispers of a supply shock. Smart money’s watching the staking yield curve.
- XRP: The perpetual underdog keeps dodging SEC jabs. A court win might finally make Wall Street’s compliance officers sweat.
One hedge fund manager sniffed, ‘Seasonal trends are for tourists—we trade liquidity.’ Then again, this is the same crowd that still calls NFTs ‘art.’
Market overview: Crypto liquidations surge as prices drop
Investors in the derivatives market are counting losses after getting caught up in macroeconomic crosshairs, ranging from a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) to United States (US) President Donald Trump's higher tariffs.
Leveraged traders have been hit hard, with liquidations in the derivatives market reaching $755 million over the past 24 hours. Ethereum leads with the highest liquidations of $226 million, followed by Bitcoin with $180 million, Solana (SOL) with $44 million and XRP with $42 million, according to CoinGlass.
Crypto liquidation heatmap | Source: CoinGlass
Historically, August has been a bearish month, and the current macro headwinds are unlikely to make it better. According to CryptoRank, Bitcoin has not had a bullish August since 2021. Bulls will be looking to change the trend this year, if support above $114,000 holds while attracting speculative demand.
Bitcoin monthly returns | Source: CryptoRank
Ethereum's performance in August has also been dismal, with positive returns dating back to 2021. XRP's performance aligns with the bearish trend observed in August over the last three years.
Ethereum monthly returns | Source: CryptoRank
Chart of the day: Bitcoin bears tighten grip
Bitcoin price has extended its decline by 6.6% so far from the record high of $123,128, underpinned by aggressive selling amid concerns about macroeconomic uncertainty. Barely a day after the Fed left interest rates unchanged while taking a hawkish stance, higher tariffs have kept volatility elevated this week.
The technical structure on the daily chart remains largely bearish, as depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) falling below the midline. If investors remain risk-averse in upcoming sessions, demand could shrink further, leaving BTC price susceptible to extend losses toward the next key support level at $112,000.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator sustains a sell signal while descending. This bearish outlook could keep recovery subdued as investors focus on reducing exposure.
Traders will also monitor for a potential rebound if bitcoin reclaims the immediate $115,000 support. Other key areas of interest are the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $112,928 and the stubborn resistance in the range of $119,000 to $120,000.
BTC/USDT daily chart
Altcoins update: Ethereum, XRP decline persists
Ethereum's price has declined by over 7% from its recent high to trade at $3,630 as of Friday's writing. The largest smart contract token reached a July peak of $3,941 before trimming some of the gains, and falling short of bullish expectations to break the key resistance at $4,000.
A MACD indicator sell signal alongside a downward-trending RSI underscores the prevalent bearish forces. If investors continue de-risking, the price of ETH could accelerate toward support at $3,500, which was tested on July 24. Other key levels of interest for traders WOULD be the 50-day EMA, currently at $3,135 and the 100-day EMA at $2,827.
ETH/USDT daily chart
As for XRP, bulls are fighting to reverse the trend upward and reclaim support at $3.00. However, its technical picture depicts a bearish bias, backed by a sell signal from the MACD indicator, descending toward the mean line, and the RSI, which holds slightly below the midline.
XRP/USDT daily chart
If the downtrend persists, the 50-day EMA, currently at $2.77 and the 100-day EMA at $2.56 could serve as tentative support levels to absorb the selling pressure. A potential rebound above $3.00 could reinforce the bullish outlook and set xrp price on the path to its record high.
Bitcoin, altcoins, stablecoins FAQs
What is Bitcoin?
Bitcoin is the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, a virtual currency designed to serve as money. This form of payment cannot be controlled by any one person, group, or entity, which eliminates the need for third-party participation during financial transactions.
What are altcoins?
Altcoins are any cryptocurrency apart from Bitcoin, but some also regard Ethereum as a non-altcoin because it is from these two cryptocurrencies that forking happens. If this is true, then Litecoin is the first altcoin, forked from the Bitcoin protocol and, therefore, an “improved” version of it.
What are stablecoins?
Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to have a stable price, with their value backed by a reserve of the asset it represents. To achieve this, the value of any one stablecoin is pegged to a commodity or financial instrument, such as the US Dollar (USD), with its supply regulated by an algorithm or demand. The main goal of stablecoins is to provide an on/off-ramp for investors willing to trade and invest in cryptocurrencies. Stablecoins also allow investors to store value since cryptocurrencies, in general, are subject to volatility.
What is Bitcoin Dominance?
Bitcoin dominance is the ratio of Bitcoin's market capitalization to the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies combined. It provides a clear picture of Bitcoin’s interest among investors. A high BTC dominance typically happens before and during a bull run, in which investors resort to investing in relatively stable and high market capitalization cryptocurrency like Bitcoin. A drop in BTC dominance usually means that investors are moving their capital and/or profits to altcoins in a quest for higher returns, which usually triggers an explosion of altcoin rallies.
