Nike’s Q4 Earnings Drop Tomorrow – Here’s the Make-or-Break Outlook
Nike’s fiscal cliffhanger hits tomorrow—will it sprint past expectations or trip on inflation’s shoelaces?
Wall Street’s betting on a photo finish. Analysts are laser-focused on margins, China demand, and whether the Swoosh can outrun its own supply chain ghosts.
Meanwhile, retail traders are already stretching their limit orders like pre-workout hamstrings. Because nothing says 'diversified portfolio' like YOLO-ing earnings plays between crypto dips.
Confident Investing Starts Here:
- Easily unpack a company's performance with TipRanks' new KPI Data for smart investment decisions
- Receive undervalued, market resilient stocks right to your inbox with TipRanks' Smart Value Newsletter
Also, revenues are expected to decrease by 15% from the year-ago quarter to $10.73 billion, according to data from the TipRanks Forecast page. This follows a weaker Q3 FY25, when Nike reported $11.26 billion in revenue, down 9% from the same quarter last year, with notable declines in both its Footwear and Apparel segments, according to Main Street Data.
Analysts’ Views Ahead of Nike’s Q4 Print
Ahead of the Q4 earnings print, Bernstein analyst Aneesha Sherman reiterated an Outperform rating and a price target of $85 on Nike, stating that the company’s turnaround is still in the early stages. Sherman pointed out that Nike is doing well in Running and showing early progress in Lifestyle, but the Jordan brand is still in the early phase of its recovery.
Heading into the Q4 earnings report, the analyst is looking for updates on inventory clearance, the Lifestyle product pipeline, and visibility into order growth — any of which could lead to upward revisions for Nike’s FY26 estimates and boost market sentiment.
Options Traders Anticipate a Large Move
Using TipRanks’ Options tool, we can see what options traders are expecting from the stock immediately after its earnings report. The expected earnings MOVE is determined by calculating the at-the-money straddle of the options closest to expiration after the earnings announcement. If this sounds complicated, don’t worry, the Options tool does this for you.
Indeed, it currently says that options traders are expecting a 7.77% move in either direction.
Is Nike Stock a Good Buy Right Now?
Turning to Wall Street, analysts have a Moderate Buy consensus rating on Nike stock based on 13 Buys and 12 Holds assigned in the last three months. Furthermore, the average NKE price target of $71.48 per share implies 16.38% upside potential.
Disclosure
