Disney (DIS) Q4 Earnings Drop Today: Here’s the Make-or-Break Moment for the Magic Kingdom
Mickey’s counting the coins—will Wall Street applaud or boo?
Disney’s fiscal Q4 report hits the tape today, and the stakes couldn’t be higher. After a year of streaming wars, park price hikes, and that awkward crypto-collab-that-shall-not-be-named, Bob Chapek’s successor needs a win. Analysts are sharpening their pencils (and their knives).
Streaming: subscriber growth or another bloodbath?
Disney+ blitzed 150M subs last quarter—but at what cost? The House of Mouse burned cash like Elon burns Twitter bots. Now, with Netflix flexing ad-tier muscles and HBO Max merging into the abyss, Disney’s gotta prove its content engine still fires.
Parks: inflation’s ugly shadow
Orlando’s $15 churros can’t hide the truth: operational costs are eating margins alive. Look for ‘revenge travel’ stats—if Gen Z would rather mint NFTs than ride Space Mountain, that’s a problem.
Bottom line: This isn’t earnings. It’s a credibility check. Beat estimates, and DIS stock might claw back from its 52-week lows. Miss? Cue the activist investors circling like vultures over Cinderella’s castle. (Bonus jab: At least they’re not reporting in Disney Dollars.)
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Wall Street projects Q4 earnings of $1.04 per share, down from $1.14 a year ago, while revenue is expected to rise to $22.76 billion from $22.45 billion.
Investors will be looking for management’s updates on streaming profitability, content spending plans, and the outlook for park demand heading into 2026.
Bernstein Analyst Weighs in on Disney’s Upcoming Earnings
Ahead of Disney’s Q4 FY25 results, Bernstein SocGen analyst Laurent Yoon kept his Outperform rating and $129 price target on Walt Disney. Yoon expects a steady quarter, with focus on streaming subscriber trends, margin progress, and the performance of the Parks segment. He noted that Disney has made clear progress this year, with stronger earnings and improving cost discipline helping set up a more stable backdrop for today’s report.
Yoon also noted that TV remains soft, but stronger streaming margins, steady park results, and lower content costs should help Disney as it moves into FY26. He added that the stock still trades below the market even though full-year earnings are set to grow at a solid pace.
Options Traders See 6.8% Price Swing in DIS Stock on Q4 Earnings
Using TipRanks’ Options tool, we can see what options traders are expecting from the stock immediately after its earnings report. The expected earnings MOVE is determined by calculating the at-the-money straddle of the options closest to expiration after the earnings announcement. If this sounds complicated, don’t worry, the Options tool does this for you.
Indeed, it currently says that options traders are expecting about a 6.8% move in either direction in Disney stock in reaction to Q4 results.
Is Walt Disney a Buy or Sell?
Turning to Wall Street, DIS stock has a Strong Buy consensus rating based on 14 Buys and one Hold assigned in the last three months. At $141.38, the average Walt Disney stock price target implies a 21.20% upside potential.
