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Could Bitcoin Surge Past $120K Due to the Fed’s Decision? What Else Might Drive the Price in 2024?

Could Bitcoin Surge Past $120K Due to the Fed’s Decision? What Else Might Drive the Price in 2024?

Author:
HashRonin
Published:
2025-09-21 00:43:02
18
2


Bitcoin’s price trajectory is under the spotlight again as the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decision looms. Analysts speculate whether BTC could breach the $120,000 mark, fueled by macroeconomic shifts and institutional demand. Beyond the Fed, factors like ETF inflows, halving dynamics, and geopolitical tensions could play pivotal roles. Let’s dive into the data, historical trends, and expert insights to unpack what’s next for the crypto king. --- ###

How Could the Fed’s Decision Impact Bitcoin’s Price?

The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions have historically swayed Bitcoin’s price. A dovish pivot (e.g., rate cuts or paused hikes) often weakens the dollar, driving investors toward inflation-resistant assets like BTC. For instance, in 2023, BTC rallied 60% after the Fed signaled slower tightening. Conversely, hawkish stances can trigger short-term sell-offs. With inflation cooling but still above the 2% target, the Fed’s September 2024 meeting could be a make-or-break moment for BTC’s $120K ambition.

TradingView (Fed rate vs. BTC correlation).

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Beyond the Fed: 3 Key Catalysts for Bitcoin in 2024

Since their January 2024 approval, bitcoin ETFs have absorbed over $30B in assets. Continued demand, especially from pension funds, could push BTC higher.

April 2024’s halving slashed miner rewards by 50%, reducing daily supply to 450 BTC. Historically, halvings precede bull runs—like the 2017 and 2021 cycles.

Escalating conflicts or currency crises (e.g., Argentina’s peso collapse) often boost BTC as a “safe haven.”

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What Are Analysts Saying About $120K?

BTCC’s head analyst notes: “$120K is feasible if institutional inflows persist, but volatility will remain extreme.” Meanwhile, Standard Chartered predicts $150K by end-2024, citing ETF demand and miner hoarding.

This article does not constitute investment advice.

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Historical Precedents: Lessons from Past Rallies

Bitcoin’s 2021 rally to $69K was driven by retail FOMO and corporate adoption (e.g., Tesla’s $1.5B buy-in). Today, the landscape differs with regulated ETFs and Wall Street participation. Still, retail sentiment—measured by social volume—could amplify moves.

BTC price history

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FAQ: Your Bitcoin Questions Answered

Why does the Fed’s policy affect Bitcoin?

Bitcoin, as a non-yielding asset, thrives when fiat currencies weaken. Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding BTC.

How reliable are $120K price predictions?

Predictions hinge on assumptions (e.g., ETF flows). Always cross-check models with on-chain data like exchange reserves.

Is now a good time to buy Bitcoin?

Dollar-cost averaging mitigates timing risks, but DYOR—past performance ≠ future results.

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