Palantir’s PLTR Hits All-Time High Ahead of Q1 Earnings—Defense Contracts Fuel the Rally
Palantir’s stock surges as military spending proves recession-proof—again. The data-mining darling flirts with record highs before earnings drop, betting big on government contracts to offset commercial slowdowns.
Wall Street shrugs: ’Defense wins championships’ remains the only investing mantra that never gets audited.
Stock Momentum Sets the Stage
Palantir Technologies (PLTR) has delivered one of the most impressive performances in tech this past week, closing at its highest weekly level ever—just shy of its all-time high of $125.41. The stock jumped 7% on Friday , capping a weekly gain of over 10%.
After bottoming out at $66.12 in early April, PLTR has more than rebounded—its share price has surged roughly 88% over the past month. The sharp rally has turned investor attention squarely to Palantir’s upcoming first-quarter earnings, set to be released after Monday’s market close.
PLTR Share Price Chart Weekly – Record Weekly Close Last Week
With the stock priced for perfection, after-hours volatility is likely to be intense. Any surprise—positive or negative—will likely lead to a sizable gap on Tuesday. A top-line beat and strong Q2 guidance could ignite a fresh breakout, while any disappointment could pull the stock back from its recent highs.
Eyes on Revenue Growth Across Divisions
Expectations are high. Analysts are forecasting that Palantir will post a significant year-over-year jump in revenue for Q1 2025. The current consensus calls for total revenues of $862.9 million, representing a 36% increase from the same quarter last year. This surge is expected to be supported by ongoing demand across both its Government and Commercial business segments.
Government-related revenue, in particular, is projected at $460 million—up 37.4% year-over-year. Palantir’s expanded footprint in defense and public health continues to be a major driver of growth, especially with rising U.S. federal spending on artificial intelligence, security, and battlefield analytics.
Commercial Business Showing Strong Signs
The Commercial side is also delivering. Analysts estimate Q1 commercial revenues will come in at $405 million, reflecting 35.4% growth from the prior year. This is likely being fueled by a combination of new client wins and deeper engagements with existing partners. Palantir has made inroads into sectors such as energy, finance, and manufacturing, and these diversified revenue streams are helping to offset some of the volatility seen in tech overall.
Conclusion: Will Earnings Justify the Rally?
Palantir’s stock has soared back into favor with investors betting on AI growth and government contracts. But with expectations now sky-high, its Q1 report must deliver not just solid numbers, but forward guidance that confirms the long-term growth story. Whether the Pentagon’s budget—and expanding commercial demand—are enough to fuel the next leg higher will become clear very soon.
