FTSE Posts Biggest Rally in History – Now Battling Key Resistance

The FTSE just printed its largest bullish surge ever recorded, but technical hurdles loom.

Breaking Down the Rally: A perfect storm of institutional inflows and short squeezes propelled the index to unprecedented heights.

Technical Headwinds: The 8,200 level now acts as a make-or-break zone – failure here could trigger profit-taking from latecomers chasing the rally.

Cynical Take: Traders are already placing bets on how quickly the ’smart money’ will dump positions onto retail bagholders.

Friday marked 15 winning sessions, the longest on record, today’s market looks set to extend a day further.

• FTSE up nearly 2%
• IAG leads the pack
• Technical hurdles on the day chart

The FTSE gained 1.95% this morning as investors see hopes for global trade deals after Trumps comments.

Trump Opens Possibility of Trade Deals

Talking to reporters on Air Force One, Trump stated that US officials would be meeting with many countries on trade deals, including China.

When reporters asked if any trade agreements would be announced this week, Trump said “that could very well be”.

The US President also suggested he did not expect to reach an agreement with all countries. But rather would be “setting a certain tariff” for those trading partners in the next weeks.

IAG Leads Index Higher

IAG, the holding company of British Airways and Iberia, ROSE 5.01% this morning leading the UK’s blue-chip index.

Airliners have profited over the past weeks from a drop in crude oil prices over the past week. Today’s news that OPEC added another 411k barrels per day for June sent WTI lower by 3%.

FTSE Day Chart

Technical View

The day chart above for the FTSE shows a market still in a bear trend with prices below the Ichimoku cloud.

The market is facing resistance from the cloud at 8,668, while a close at current levels would have broken the resistance at 8,585 (black line).

Immediate support is at 8,481 (orange line), which coincides with a previous all-time high from May 2024.

To consider a bull trend, we would need to see prices above the cloud, including the Lagging line (yellow line).

To confirm the strength of the bull trend I would want to see the RSI above the level of 70. We would get further confirmation of the trend if there is a close above the previous highest candle body at 8,834 (blue line).