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Bitcoin Price Analysis October 2025: Will $110K Hold or Is a Major Correction Coming?

Bitcoin Price Analysis October 2025: Will $110K Hold or Is a Major Correction Coming?

Author:
DarkChainX
Published:
2025-10-17 05:31:02
7
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Bitcoin’s rollercoaster ride continues as the cryptocurrency battles to hold the $110K support level after a sharp pullback from its all-time high above $126K. With 93 of the top 100 altcoins in the red and mining profitability showing mixed signals, investors are questioning whether this is a healthy consolidation or the start of a deeper correction. Meanwhile, US mining stocks are celebrating record gains, and regulatory winds are shifting. Here’s what the data says about Bitcoin’s next move.

Bitcoin’s Price Plunge: Temporary Dip or Start of a Bear Trend?

After its spectacular rally to $126,000, bitcoin has shocked investors with a 12% correction, now struggling to maintain the psychologically critical $110K level. Trading at $110,774 with a 24-hour loss of 2.2%, the king of crypto still shows strength with a robust $53.4B daily trading volume (CoinMarketCap data). This suggests both retail and institutional players remain active despite the pullback. Historically, October averages 22% gains for BTC – but so far in 2025, seasonal strength is being overshadowed by profit-taking.

Behind the Scenes: Mining Network Shows Fatigue

JPMorgan analysts report Bitcoin’s hashrate dropped by 5 EH/s to 1,030 EH/s in early October (Source: Blockchain.com). Paradoxically, while daily block rewards ROSE 6% to $52,500 per exahash, the crucial "hashprice" metric fell 7% – indicating miners are facing squeezed profitability despite BTC’s high nominal price. This suggests either miner capitulation or efficiency upgrades are underway. As someone who’s watched multiple cycles, I’ve found these hash rate fluctuations often precede major price movements.

US Mining Stocks: The Leveraged Play Outperforming BTC

While Bitcoin consolidates, US mining stocks are partying like it’s 2021. The sector’s combined market cap hit a record $79B – up 41% since September – with Bitfarms leading at a jaw-dropping 129% gain (TradingView data). These companies now control 38% of global hashrate, becoming the ultimate "beta play" on Bitcoin. Remember when everyone doubted public miners? Now they’re printing money faster than the Fed.

Regulatory Winds Shift: Fed Official Backs Stablecoins

In a surprise move, Fed Governor Michael Barr voiced support for stablecoins’ cross-border potential on October 16, emphasizing the need for "robust frameworks." This comes as G20 watchdogs identified "significant gaps" in global crypto regulation. From my perspective, such mixed signals are typical during adoption phases – regulators want innovation but demand guardrails. The BTCC research team notes this could accelerate institutional adoption if clarity emerges.

Technical Outlook: Make-or-Break Levels to Watch

The RSI suggests Bitcoin was overbought before this correction, but key supports at $110K-$112K are holding. A breakdown below $107K could trigger cascading liquidations, while reclaiming $115K might restart the uptrend. Interestingly, BTC’s 30-day volatility has dropped to 2.8% (lowest since June), suggesting a big MOVE is brewing. Will October’s historical bullishness finally kick in? The next week could decide.

FAQ: Your Bitcoin Questions Answered

Is now a good time to buy Bitcoin?

With BTC 12% off highs but above critical support, dollar-cost averaging may be prudent. The BTCC team recommends watching the $107K-$112K range for confirmation.

Why are mining stocks outperforming Bitcoin?

These companies benefit from operational leverage – their revenue grows exponentially when BTC rises while costs stay relatively fixed.

How significant is the hashrate drop?

A 5 EH/s decline is notable but not alarming. Similar drops preceded rallies in 2023 and 2024 when inefficient miners capitulated.

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