Dogecoin Holds Steady—But Oversold Signals Flash Warning for Bearish Traders

Dogecoin's price stability masks a brewing storm. The meme coin's RSI has dipped into oversold territory—a classic contrarian signal that’s got traders eyeing short positions.

Bulls beware: When the crowd starts yelling 'oversold,' smart money starts stacking puts. Then again, since when has DOGE ever followed textbook technicals?

One cynical truth: In crypto, 'fundamentals' are just astrology for finance bros. The real indicator? Whether Elon’s tweeting rocket emojis before lunch.

News Background

• Dogecoin’s rebound comes in the wake of intense selling pressure sparked by escalating geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran. The sharp market-wide correction, which triggered mass liquidations, briefly pushed DOGE down more than 7% intraday on Wednesday.
• Meanwhile, macroeconomic headwinds persist. The U.S. Federal Reserve continues to maintain restrictive monetary policy, keeping rates at 4.25%–4.50% while actively reducing its balance sheet — a dynamic that has historically weighed on riskier bets such as DOGE.
• Still, the memecoin remains one of the most liquid assets in the crypto space, with daily turnover near $1.37 billion and market cap holding above $24.7 billion.
• Elsewhere, technical indicators show DOGE entering oversold territory, and social sentiment data from LunarCrush reveals an 86% positive tone across 16,000+ mentions, suggesting continued community conviction even amid price volatility.

DOGE’s near-term outlook may hinge on regulatory developments, including a potential U.S. spot ETF decision, as well as continued adoption on DeFi platforms such as Coinbase’s Base network where wrapped Doge is gaining traction.

Price Action

DOGE saw its sharpest decline during the 13:00 hour, dropping to $0.164 on a 591M volume spike — the highest of the day.

The strong bounce that followed pushed prices back above $0.171, where the memecoin found near-term equilibrium.

Price action has since consolidated in a tight band between $0.170 and $0.1696, with small volume bursts suggesting accumulation at lower levels.

Technical Analysis Recap

• DOGE posted a 4.7% recovery, rising from $0.164 to $0.171.
• Major liquidation-driven selloff occurred at 13:00, with volume peaking at 591M units.
• Volume-based support established at $0.164; resistance remains firm near $0.172.
• Recent candles show signs of accumulation, particularly during the 02:00–02:02 period (3.4M volume).
• RSI at 33.29 suggests DOGE may be nearing oversold territory.
• Price is consolidating just above short-term support of $0.1696.
• If DOGE breaks above $0.1750, the next resistance zone lies at $0.1820; failure to do so could trigger a retest of $0.1640 or even $0.150 in a risk-off environment.
• Technical patterns point to a descending triangle — typically a bearish signal — but reduced volatility suggests stabilization.

Disclaimer: Portions of this article were generated with the assistance of AI tools and reviewed by CoinDesk’s editorial team for accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.