Crypto Stock Digest: Breaking Down Listing Updates & The COIN vs. HOOD Showdown
Crypto's public market heavyweights just upped the ante—new listings drop as Coinbase and Robinhood lock horns.
Exchange Wars Escalate
COIN flexes institutional muscle while HOOD chases retail momentum. Both platforms scramble for dominance as regulatory clouds gather.
Listing Frenzy Implications
Fresh asset additions signal aggressive expansion plays. Traders get more options—and more volatility—as platforms diversify revenue streams beyond trading fees.
Wall Street’s Reluctant Embrace
Traditional finance still views crypto like a reckless cousin at a wedding—tolerated but not trusted. Meanwhile, adoption metrics keep ticking upward despite the skepticism.
The verdict? This isn’t just a stock battle—it’s a proxy war for crypto’s future mainstream identity. Place your bets accordingly.
As many investors — rightly or wrongly — compare HOOD to Coinbase, an Aug. 29 report by Blockworks Research analyst Marc Arjoon gives us a side-by-side view of both.
HOOD has materially outperformed COIN year to date — with the stock prices up 156% and 18%, respectively, over that span.
“This divergence is likely due to COIN’s equity story remaining tethered to crypto prices and volume, while HOOD has demonstrated resilience by broadening its revenue base across equities, options, crypto, and prediction markets, thereby capturing a wider slice of retail financial activity,” Arjoon wrote.
Robinhood’s market cap recently surpassed Coinbase’s, “underscoring how investors are assigning a premium to HOOD’s diversified growth and monetization model over COIN’s more cyclical, crypto-driven profile,” he added.
Coinbase has sought to diversify its revenue streams in recent years, with some success. Though its Q2 transaction revenue declined 39% quarter over quarter, its stablecoin revenue grew 12% (with average USDC balances held in Coinbase products reaching $13.8 billion).
The company now looks to build what it calls an Everything Exchange — enabling many more assets to trade in a “one-stop shop” on crypto rails.
So COIN has the revenue advantage over HOOD, but shows “far greater cyclicality” in that realm, Arjoon notes:
Let’s also touch on another company some think could soon enter the S&P 500: Strategy. You might recall the largest corporate bitcoin holder (now with 636,505 BTC) joining the Nasdaq 100 index in December.
MSTR stock is down ~14% in the past month. Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer attributed that to a compressing market premium to its underlying bitcoin holdings and a choppy macro environment.
You might have seen Strategy take some heat (on Crypto Twitter, at least) for relaxing what Palmer noted is a “self-imposed constraint.” The company told investors in late July that it WOULD only use its common-stock ATM to buy bitcoin when its mNAV was at least 2.5x — aiming to prevent it from issuing equity when the stock traded too close to the value of its underlying BTC.
But around the time MSTR’s mNAV slid toward 1.6x, Strategy said it may tactically issue shares to meet fixed obligations and “when otherwise deemed advantageous” even if mNAV is below 2.5x. That gives it the option to buy bitcoin with equity even during premium troughs.
“The company’s subsequent decision to adjust course when the guideline itself became counterproductive by starving the program of cheap capital exactly when bitcoin weakness created attractive entry points was an appropriate move,” Palmer argued in a Tuesday note.
Palmer reiterated his buy rating of MSTR and its price target of $705 (it stood at ~$335 this afternoon).
Finally, on the aforementioned Circle and Bullish: CRCL shares were trading for about ~$118 Wednesday afternoon — up 280% from its $31 IPO price. BLSH’s ~$54 stock price was about 50% higher than its $37 IPO price.
More to come here, no doubt.
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