Crypto’s Grand Visions vs. Tiny Realities: Bridging the Execution Gap in 2025

Crypto keeps promising revolutions—so why are we still stuck buying JPEGs of monkeys?

The big disconnect

Blockchain was supposed to rebuild finance. Instead, we've got vaporware ICOs from 2017 still missing deadlines while TradFi bankers laugh into their champagne.

Where's the beef?

Every whitepaper claims world-changing utility. Most live as speculative tokens with less daily activity than a rural post office. Even Ethereum's 'killer apps' process fewer transactions than Visa before breakfast.

The brutal truth

Until projects ship products people actually use—not just trade—crypto remains the finance sector's most expensive science project. The tech's potential? Massive. The delivery? Still waiting for that 'any day now' moment since 2009.

Ethereum processed an all-time high of 46.7 million transactions in July, thanks largely to the smart contract chain’s new, higher gas limit. A higher gas limit increases the computational capacity of each block, which lowers the competition for blockspace. As a result, the median fee on ethereum has hovered around $0.20 recently, down from as high as $13 a little over a year ago.

(Note: Nearly all of today’s charts are freely available on the Blockworks website.)

Doing more for less:

Ethereum transactions are at record highs, but Ethereum REV — a measure of how much people pay to use the chain — is near record lows. In July, Solana, Hyperliquid and Tron all earned more in fees than Ethereum did. This is great news for Ethereum’s users, who can do more with less. But it may not be such great news for Ethereum’s investors. 

If blockchains had earnings:

Subtract payments to operators from REV and you get what can be thought of as the “net income” of a blockchain. On that basis, if we annualize the $31 million of net income that Ethereum recorded in July, we can say that ETH trades on a price-to-earnings ratio of 1,200x. Yikes.

Still, there have been more buyers than sellers lately:

ETH is  up 45% over the past month, presumably because digital asset treasury companies have provided a new source of demand. DATs now hold $6.9 billion of ETH, up from NEAR zero just a month ago. ETH ETFs bought an additional $5.4 billion worth in July as well. 

Trending down:

Because most treasury companies have to sell shares to buy crypto, trading volume is considered a leading indicator of their purchases. Falling volumes suggest that DATs will be buying less crypto.

The stock market premium:

Collectively, digital asset treasury companies are now worth $88.5 billion more than the crypto they hold. The good news is that the stock market loves crypto. The bad news is that 100% of that premium can be attributed to financial engineering, which tends to go “poof” at some point.

The HYPE is real:

Hyperliquid just posted its best-ever month, recording $88 million of revenue in July. That is $1 million more than solana did, which must mean…something. Hyperliquid now has a 75% share of the market for perpetual futures. I can’t think what its moat is, but it seems to have found one.

My favorite crypto chart:

This is the collective P&L for traders on Hyperliquid, which has been trending relentlessly lower. The big spike up in March was market manipulation, not a trader being right. The rest of the chart demonstrates that traders are rarely right. Like casinos, perps platforms grind their users to dust. But also like casinos, the users keep coming back. (Note: I’m not sure how super accurate this data is but I assume it’s directionally correct.)

Not as hype as it was:

Solana’s “token holder net income” has been more or less flatlining around $6 million a week. Annualized, that puts the SOL token on 390x P/E. Better than Ethereum, for sure, but still pretty yikes. 

Memes vs. projects:

DeFi apps are great and constantly getting better. But “most of the assets are shady,” as Alex Thorn puts it. On Solana DEXs, for example, memecoins still trade 7x more volume than “project tokens.”

Colonel Mustard in the billiard room with a candle stick…

Like a game of Clue, this Sankey diagram demonstrates that DEX volumes have recently been dominated by memecoins on BNB Chain using PancakeSwap. I’m reliably told by the 0xResearch chat room that most of this is wash trading, however.

Less degen-ing:

The leading trading bot, Axiom, has seen falling trade volumes, which suggests the most active, most degen of retail crypto traders are finding fewer reasons to trade. 

Tokenized equities haven’t inspired them, either:

Putting equities onchain has been a popular topic lately, but crypto traders seem disinterested so far. “Equities” trading volume has averaged less than $4 million a day on Solana.

Bitcoin’s mempool:

Bitcoin’s mempool, the queue of transactions waiting to be added to a block, has been a little busier of late, but activity remains near long-term lows. (I still think “MEMEpool” every time I read “mempool” and I’m not sure I’m wrong.) You can watch the mempool in a neat visualization here.  It’s kind of mesmerizing, like watching fish in a fishbowl. And in the case of Bitcoin, it’s not much faster. The Ethereum mempool is busier and helpfully visualized here as a bus stop.

The original idea still stands:

However active crypto is at the moment (or inactive, Rob Hadick describes it), the foundational rationale is stronger than ever: Exploding government debt makes an alternative financial system worth exploring.

But it probably won’t help much if it happens on the stock market.

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