Bitcoin’s Next Move: These ’Realistic’ Bullish Targets Could Hit Before Any Bear Market Begins
Forget the doom-and-gloom headlines. The real conversation among serious crypto practitioners isn't about if a bear market will come, but how high Bitcoin can fly before it does.
Mapping the Ascent
Analysts are now charting a path through what they call 'realistic' bullish targets. These aren't pie-in-the-sky numbers but levels grounded in on-chain data, institutional flow patterns, and historical cycle analysis. The thesis is simple: the current macro setup and adoption wave provide enough fuel for a significant leg up, even with a eventual cyclical downturn on the horizon.
The runway appears clear for now. Traditional finance giants, having finally gotten their paperwork in order, are funneling capital into the space—a classic case of being fashionably late to their own disruption party. This institutional inertia creates a powerful, albeit predictable, tailwind.
Timing the Turn
The key for any bull is knowing when the music might stop. The focus has shifted from blind 'number go up' optimism to strategic exit planning. The smart money isn't just looking at price peaks; it's monitoring leverage ratios, exchange netflows, and miner behavior for the first signs of exhaustion. The goal is to capture the meat of the move before the narrative flips.
So, while the bears sharpen their claws in anticipation, the bulls are busy calculating just how much room is left in this rally. One thing's certain: in crypto, the biggest profits often come from the run-up everyone sees coming but few are prepared to maximize. After all, what's a market cycle without a little profitable denial on the way to the top?
Bitcoin’s Tendency To Recover
TradingShot’s analysis does not go against the idea of a bear market, but rather points to the fact that Bitcoin is yet to enter a new Bull Cycle. The analysis focuses on the sell-offs that the cryptocurrency has suffered since hitting its all-time high, pushing it into a bearish leg. The analyst draws similarities between the current market structure and what was seen in the market decline between January 20 and April 7, showing that they are both part of a “Channel Up” formation.
Another interesting fact about the current trend is the fact that, just like the January-April trend, it has also completed a 1-Day MACD Bullish Cross. This was a formation that led to a brief recovery back in March, and the same could be the case this time around.
Such a rally, the analyst explains, is known as a counter-trend rally, and another one could be underway. If this is the case, then the bitcoin price could be gearing up to retest the Lower Highs trendline, putting the contact points at significantly higher price levels than Bitcoin is currently trending at.
The Targets That Could Materialize
In the event that this Bitcoin price counter-trend rally does play out, TradingShot outlines two major targets that the cryptocurrency could hit. The first of these lies at $95,850, which coincides with the 0.382 Fibonacci level. This level is the rejection point for the April 2025 rally, making it an important play.
Above this first target lies the second and final target of $106,450. This target, interestingly, lies outside of the Lower Highs trendline, but remains a viable option. It would occur in a situation where the bitcoin price makes contact with the 1D MA200. The analyst explains that “This is where the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level is, which was also Target 2 for the April fractal and where the second consolidation took place.”
