5 Crypto Predictions After the Biggest Market Crash in History (October 2025)
- Was the October 10th Crash a Manipulated Event?
- Samson Mow’s Take: "This Was a Necessary Purge"
- Raoul Pal’s Liquidity Thesis: Why Macro Still Favors Bitcoin
- Lark Davis Spots a "Generational Buying Window"
- Adam Livingston: How Bitcoin Proved Its "Safe Haven" Cred
- Jordi Visser & Pomp’s "Debasement Trade" Playbook
- FAQ: Your Post-Crash Crypto Questions, Answered
The crypto market witnessed its most catastrophic crash on October 10, 2025, with over $19 billion liquidated in hours. Bitcoin dropped $20K, altcoins plunged 50%+, and whales’ coordinated shorting amplified the chaos. But top analysts see this as a reset—not an end. Here’s why Samson Mow, Raoul Pal, and others believe Bitcoin will dominate the recovery, how global liquidity fuels rebounds, and where once-in-a-cycle buying opportunities lurk. Buckle up; the post-crash landscape is anything but predictable.
Was the October 10th Crash a Manipulated Event?
Let’s cut through the noise: the October 10th crash wasn’t just "market dynamics." On-chain data from CoinMarketCap shows whales had stacked suspiciously large short positions hours before the sell-off began at 9:30 AM ET—well before geopolitical tensions escalated. By the time tariffs hit headlines, liquidity was already evaporating. The BTCC research team noted this wasn’t organic panic; it smelled like a "cascade trigger" designed to flush out Leveraged traders. Over 1.6 million positions got liquidated, with Bitcoin briefly nosediving to $20K below its pre-crash high. Memecoins? Obliterated. But here’s the twist: Bitcoin’s dominance2% amid the bloodbath. That tells you where smart money hid.
Samson Mow’s Take: "This Was a Necessary Purge"
Jan3 CEO Samson Mow, never one to mince words, called the crash a "market enema." In his view, 90% of altcoins were "overvalued memes" propped up by hype. When liquidity dried up, their true worth—near zero—got exposed. "Bitcoin’s the only asset with real depth," he tweeted post-crash. Mow argues capital will now flood back into BTC as traders seek stability. Historical data supports this: after the 2020 COVID crash, bitcoin rallied 500% in 12 months. Could history rhyme? Maybe. But Mow’s betting this crash cemented Bitcoin’s status as crypto’s "base layer."
Raoul Pal’s Liquidity Thesis: Why Macro Still Favors Bitcoin
Ex-Goldman Sachs exec Raoul Pal isn’t sweating the crash. His charts show Bitcoin and the Nasdaq move in near-lockstep (90% correlation), both driven by global liquidity. "Central banks are still printing," he notes. Case in point: the ECB’s surprise €500B stimulus dropped justafter the crash. Pal’s key insight? "Liquidity trumps short-term shocks." TradingView data reveals Bitcoin’s 200-week moving average held firm during the crash—a bullish sign. His takeaway: "This wasn’t a cycle top; it was a leverage reset."
Lark Davis Spots a "Generational Buying Window"
"Remember when BTC hit $3K in 2020 and everyone wished they’d bought?" asks influencer Lark Davis. "This is that moment—but bigger." The $19B liquidation event dwarfed previous records (FTX: $1.6B, COVID: $1.2B). Davis warns against catching falling knives but sees "fire-sale prices" on quality assets post-crash. His playbook? Dollar-cost average into Bitcoin and ethereum over 6 months. "Altcoins? Only projects with >$100M daily volume," he advises. Pro tip: check CoinMarketCap’s "Top Gainers" post-crash—often a clue to recovery leaders.
Adam Livingston: How Bitcoin Proved Its "Safe Haven" Cred
While altcoins cratered 40%, Bitcoin’s 12% drop was notably shallower. Analyst Adam Livingston calls this "relative strength on steroids." Bitcoin’s dominance spike to 60% post-crash suggests traders fled to it as crypto’s "least risky" asset. Livingston notes similar patterns in 2018 and 2020: "Bitcoin always survives leverage implosions." His contrarian view? The crashBTC’s store-of-value narrative. "When $19B vanishes and Bitcoin’s the last one standing, that’s not luck—that’s design."
Jordi Visser & Pomp’s "Debasement Trade" Playbook
Weiss CIO Jordi Visser and Anthony Pompliano see Bitcoin thriving in an era of currency debasement. "Governments are monetizing debt at WWII levels," Pomp tweeted. Morgan Stanley now recommends 4% crypto allocations—a sea change. Visser’s charts show Bitcoin’s volatility isversus fiat currencies. Their prediction? As treasury yields stagnate, Bitcoin becomes the "21st-century T-bond." Not financial advice, but… that’s one heck of a thesis.
FAQ: Your Post-Crash Crypto Questions, Answered
Was the October 2025 crash predictable?
Partly. On-chain metrics like whale short positions (via CryptoQuant) and funding rates spiked pre-crash. But the tariff news accelerated it unpredictably.
Should I buy altcoins now?
High-risk. The BTCC team suggests waiting for Bitcoin’s dominance to stabilize above 55% before altcoin bets.
How long until markets recover?
Historically, 3-6 months for major rallies post-crash (see 2018, 2020). But liquidity conditions today are unique.
Is Bitcoin still "digital gold"?
Its -12% vs. gold’s -2% on crash day wasn’t perfect, but outperforming altcoins by 30%+ is telling.
What’s the biggest post-crash risk?
Regulatory crackdowns. The SEC could use volatility to justify stricter rules.
