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Lyft Stock (LYFT) Soars on Founders’ Exit Amid Intensifying Margin Pressure

Lyft Stock (LYFT) Soars on Founders’ Exit Amid Intensifying Margin Pressure

Author:
tipranks
Published:
2025-08-26 22:36:34
18
3

Lyft shares surge as founders step down—just as margin pressures hit boiling point.

Leadership Shakeup Sparks Rally

Investors cheer the departure of Lyft's founders, sending shares skyrocketing. The market's reaction screams relief—a fresh start while financial headwinds gather force.

Margin Squeeze Accelerates

Ride-hailing margins get crushed from all sides: driver incentives, regulatory costs, and brutal competition. Lyft's numbers tell the story—pressure mounting quarter after quarter.

Wall Street's Cynical Cheer

Because nothing makes traders happier than executives jumping ship before earnings season. Classic finance move: celebrate the exit before asking why they left.

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Moreover, Lyft’s co-founders, Logan Green and John Zimmer, both stepped down from the company’s board of directors. Additionally, the two founders converted all of their Class B shares to Class A shares, thereby eliminating the dual-class structure and establishing equal voting rights for all shareholders.

Despite its amiable growth spurt this month, the stock offers relatively reasonable value at current prices; thin profit margins, competitive pressures, and execution risks leave me Neutral on the shares.

Lyft Seeking a Path Out of Second Place

The ridesharing market operates a two-sided marketplace connecting drivers who want to earn money with passengers who need rides. It is rapidly growing, with projections for the global market to grow to over $400 billion by 2032. North America (which makes up over half the international market) is dominated by two players who account for over 80% of the market: Uber (UBER) (55%+) and Lyft (32%).

To differentiate from one another, Uber has diversified into food delivery, freight, and international markets. Meanwhile, Lyft has concentrated on perfecting the ride-hailing experience in North America, including integrating bikes, scooters, and public transit information, while introducing rider-friendly features like Women+ Connect for enhanced safety and upfront pay transparency for drivers.

Bay Wheels Lyft Bikes in San Francisco, California (2025).

Lyft acquired European taxi app Freenow in late July, expanding its footprint into major markets like the United Kingdom and Germany. It has also forged partnerships with technology companies Baidu (BIDU) and BENTELER Mobility to develop autonomous vehicle capabilities.

The company is in the midst of leadership changes as co-founders Logan Green and John Zimmer have stepped back from executive roles, with Sean Aggarwal stepping in as independent Board Chair. This transition includes the elimination of a dual-class share structure, with the founders’ shares shifting from Class B to Class A common stock with equal voting rights.

Financial Performance Shows Progress

Lyft’s Q2 2025 results paint a mixed picture. Gross bookings jumped 12% to $4.5 billion, helping the company generate $1.6 billion in revenue, representing solid 11% year-over-year growth. Adjusted EBITDA, a measure of operational profitability, surged 26% to $129.4 million. The company swung to a net profit of $40.3 million compared to $5 million in the same quarter last year.

Still, revenue came in slightly below analyst expectations, while earnings per share of $0.33 exceeded projections of $0.25. These mixed results caused brief stock volatility post-earnings.

Management has provided guidance for ongoing growth, with third-quarter gross bookings between $4.65 and $4.80 billion, and adjusted EBITDA of $125 to $145 million. These projections suggest growth in both the Core North American business and newly acquired international operations.

As a further boost to existing shareholders, Lyft reduced its share count for the first time in its history by repurchasing $200 million worth of stock in June 2025.

Valuation and Momentum

From a valuation perspective, Lyft appears relatively reasonably priced. The stock trades at 1.16x sales, well below competitor Uber’s 4.29x and the broader sector average of 1.67x. However, intense competition from Uber’s broader platform continues to pressure margins. Lyft’s net profit margin of 0.39% pales in comparison to Uber’s 22.41%.

Meanwhile, the stock has shown positive price momentum, bullishly trading above all major moving averages. Objects in motion tend to stay in motion, so the stock could continue to run from here, but fundamentals will need to continue improving, else investors risk an eventual snap-back.

Is LYFT a Good Stock to Buy?

Analysts have generally maintained a cautious outlook on the stock. LYFT is rated as a Hold overall, based on 6 Buy, 19 Hold, and 1 Sell recommendations. LYFT’s average stock price target of $16.42 represents approximately 3.7% downside from current levels over the next 12 months.

See more LYFT analyst ratings

Recent activity has prompted some to raise their price targets. For example, Brian Pitz from BMO Capital raised his price target to $16 (from $15) while maintaining a Market Perform rating on the shares, citing “mixed” Q2 results, but the expanded growth opportunities in the U.S. and abroad.

Meanwhile, TD Cowen analyst John Blackledge also raised his price target to $22 (from $21) and kept a Buy rating on the shares, noting that Q3 guidance exceeded consensus expectations.

However, representing the more bearish end of the spectrum, Susquehanna analyst Shyam Patil lowered his price target to $14 (from $18) while keeping a Neutral rating on the shares, suggesting the risk/reward is balanced at current levels.

Lyft’s Growth Potential Balanced by Profitability Risks

Lyft’s international expansion and partnerships in autonomous vehicles hold promise, with potential breakthroughs in European markets and self-driving deployment offering meaningful upside. The stock also shows constructive price momentum while trading at a relatively fair valuation.

From an operations perspective, Lyft’s partnerships with major brands like Chase, DoorDash, and United Airlines (UAL) are expected to drive growth, with partnerships now contributing to 25% of rides. The company is also expanding into Europe through its acquisition of FREENOW and exploring autonomous vehicle opportunities with Baidu.

That said, competitive intensity, execution challenges, and regulatory risks remain significant. For now, I’m maintaining a Neutral stance and waiting for clearer evidence of progress on profitability before turning more constructive.

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