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Is The Metals Company Stock Your Next Millionaire-Maker?

Is The Metals Company Stock Your Next Millionaire-Maker?

Author:
foolstock
Published:
2025-09-18 21:29:00
7
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Deep-sea mining disruptor The Metals Company just made waves—but can it really mint millionaires?

Breaking New Ground—Or Just Mud?

TMC's ambitious plan to harvest polymetallic nodules from the ocean floor promises to bypass land-based mining's environmental and political headaches. No more relying on geopolitically shaky supply chains. No more endless permitting battles. Just straight-to-source metal extraction—if they can actually pull it off.

The Green Tech Gold Rush

Electric vehicles, grid storage, renewable infrastructure—they all crave nickel, cobalt, copper. TMC positions itself as the ethical, scalable answer. But scalable doesn’t always mean profitable, and ethical doesn’t always mean investable.

High Risk, Titanic Reward?

This isn’t for the faint-hearted. Regulatory hurdles remain enormous. Environmental pushback is fierce. And let’s be real—if deep-sea mining were easy, every mining giant would already be down there. But high risk sometimes means high reward… or total wipeout.

So, millionaire-maker? Maybe. For every investor who dreams of buying a private island, there’s another who ends up swimming with the fishes—financially speaking, of course. Typical mining stock drama, just with better scenery.

The Metals Company looks to the ocean for precious minerals

The Metals Company operates a deep-sea minerals exploration company, looking to mine precious minerals found on the DEEP ocean floor. Exploration takes place in the Clarion Clipperton Zone, an expansive region of the Eastern Pacific that is roughly 1,500 miles southwest of San Diego.

The company is on a mission to discover and refine unique polymetallic nodules. These nodules are treasure troves that contain precious minerals like nickel, copper, cobalt, and manganese. These essential metals play a vital role in the modern world, powering everything from cutting-edge electric vehicle batteries to the robust infrastructure of power grids, electric generators, gas turbines, and even nuclear reactors.

A major de-risking took place this year

This year has been an eventful one for the company. In March, it opted for a U.S.-based regulatory route, aligning itself with the Deep Seabed Hard Mineral Resources Act (DSHMRA) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). This decision followed over 10 years of stagnation due to delays from the International Seabed Authority (ISA) in establishing a mining code. Industry experts saw this MOVE as a major de-risking event, offering a potentially expedited path for The Metals Company to secure essential permits.

The TRUMP administration has been vocal in its support for deep-sea mining initiatives. In April, Trump signed an executive order titled "Unleashing America's Offshore Critical Minerals and Resources."

This directive called on the Department of Commerce to speed up permitting processes while empowering the Departments of Defense and Energy to tap into the National Defense Stockpile and forge agreements for seabed minerals. Following the announcement, Alliance Global Partners noted that The Metals Company is "poised to play a key role in the onshoring of the complete critical minerals supply chain."

A fiber optic cable and rocks on the ocean floor.

Image source: Getty Images.

Keep an eye on its capital position

While the news FLOW has been positive, investors should keep in mind that The Metals Company is currently pre-revenue and does not anticipate earning significant revenues (aside from potential service revenue) until it receives an exploitation contract or commercial recovery permit.

For a pre-revenue company, capital is crucial. In May, The Metals Company raised $37 million in gross proceeds through a registered direct offering with investors included. In June, Korea Zinc, a major non-ferrous metal refiner, made a strategic investment of approximately $85.2 million, acquiring 19.6 million common shares and warrants.

While recent financing has improved its cash position, The Metals  Company will require substantial additional funds to complete its programs and start commercial operations. It projects that it could begin production in the fourth quarter of 2027. When it does start steady-state production, it expects to generate approximately $600 per dry TON of nodules.

The company anticipates being profitable in nearly any nickel price environment. The EBITDA margin per ton is expected to be approximately 43%, or $254, during steady-state production, potentially increasing to almost 50% by 2040 with the operation of U.S. refineries. Over the life of its projects, TMC projects an undiscounted revenue of approximately $369 billion and EBITDA exceeding $200 billion.

Is The Metals Company a millionaire-maker stock?

The Metals Company is an intriguing stock that has garnered attention due to its potential role in helping the U.S. secure control over precious resources and minerals. It is positioned as a first mover in the deep-sea mineral collection industry and plans to move from its current exploration stage to commercial production, targeting a 2027 production start.

Whether it can make you a millionaire remains to be seen. Many things WOULD have to go right, including obtaining a permit, moving into production, scaling up, and ultimately achieving profitability. If it does, the stock has solid upside potential.

That said, it is pre-revenue and speculative. If you decide to invest, limit the amount to what you are comfortable with in a high-risk, high-reward stock that will likely take years to pay off. Most importantly, ensure you consistently invest in a diversified portfolio of stocks on your journey toward building long-term wealth.

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