비트코인, 40만 달러 목표로 사상 최대 상승 채널 형성 중
디지털 골드의 대격변 - 비트코인이 역사적인 상승 궤도에 진입했다
기술적 돌파
차트 분석가들이 숨을 죽이고 지켜보는 가운데, 비트코인이 역대 가장 강력한 상승 채널을 구축하고 있습니다. 이 패턴은 과거 모든 강세장을 능가하는 규모로 형성되며, 암호화폐 시장에 새로운 지평을 열고 있습니다.40만 달러 예측
전문가들은 이 기술적 형성이 40만 달러 목표치를 향한 강력한 신호라고 분석합니다. 기관 투자자들의 유입과 함께, 비트코인은 전통 금융 시스템에 대한 신뢰를 잃은 투자자들에게 안전한 대안으로 부상하고 있습니다.월스트리트는 여전히 의문을 제기하지만
전통 금융권 애널리스트들은 여전히 회의적인 목소리를 내고 있지만, 그들이 디지털 자산을 무시하는 동안 비트코인은 조용히 새로운 기록을 세우고 있습니다. 결국, 금융 역사는 항상 혁신가들이 아니라 회의론자들을 놀라게 만들어 왔죠.
Image source: Getty Images.
1. Tesla's third-quarter earnings and what they could mean for Q4
The third quarter earnings report is scheduled for release on Oct. 22, and it's essential to approach the results like Goldilocks planning a last-minute vacation in the woods. On the too-hot side, deliveries of 497,099 vehicles represented a 7.4% increase on last year's third quarter and a 29.4% increase on the second quarter of 2025.
However, as most investors are aware, federal tax credits for new and used electric vehicles (EVs) expired on Sept. 30, and there's likely a significant pull forward in sales into the third quarter, and away from the fourth quarter. This is highly likely to lead to a significant sequential decline in Tesla deliveries in the fourth quarter.
On the too-cold side of the argument, Tesla doesn't just generate sales in the U.S., so the EV federal tax credit issue won't impact all of its sales. Based on publicly available figures, Tesla generated 62.6% of its sales by volume internationally in the second quarter.
In other words, Tesla's sales might not be that bad on a sequential basis in the fourth quarter, and Wall Street analysts are likely to ask CEO Elon Musk about the cadence of sales in the U.S. in the first few weeks of October during the earnings call -- something to watch for.
2. Tesla will update on a new, lower-cost model
With the general drift in the EV automaking world toward fewer incentives and higher pricing, particularly as interest rates remain relatively high, EV companies need to lower the prices of EVs. That's one reason why the market got excited when Tesla disclosed that it began production of a lower-cost Model Y (Tesla's best-selling model) in the first half and WOULD ramp production slowly in the third quarter, ready for launch in the fourth quarter after the tax credit expired.
This is essential because EVs have significantly lower fuel and maintenance costs compared to internal combustion engine or hybrid cars; therefore, a reduction in the up-front cost will have a substantially greater impact on the vehicle's lifetime cost. Moreover, it could make Tesla eligible for incentives like the U.K.'s electric car grant of up to $5,000 for new vehicles priced at less than $49,600.
3. Tesla's latest version of full self-driving software
The launch of Tesla's latest supervised full self-driving (FSD) update (version 14) highlights the key to the medium-term investment case -- the potential for robotaxis and unsupervised FSD to lead to a dramatic increase in revenue and earnings in future years.
The excitement centers on the commercial potential of unsupervised robotaxis for ride-sharing revenue for Tesla, whether via its dedicated Cybercab (set for volume production in 2026) or Tesla vehicles transformed via (as-yet unreleased or approved) unsupervised FSD.
To achieve either milestone, Tesla will need to enhance its FSD offering. For that, it requires data on miles driven to improve its neural networks continually, and eliminate so-called "edge case" issues that involve complex driving situations.
Image source: Tesla.
The good news is that no other company comes even close to Tesla's data. For example,'s Waymo was reported to have driven 100 million fully autonomous miles in the summer, compared to approximately Tesla's 4.5 billion miles at the end of the second quarter.
Moreover, much of the newer data from Tesla will come from hardware 4 vehicles (faster processing power, higher camera resolution, better night clarity, and a broader field of view), which started shipping in 2023.
Why Tesla stock is a buy
The ongoing robotaxi rollout, the new FSD version confirming the strength of Tesla's data advantage, a lower-cost model, and the potential for Tesla's sales to surpass a low bar of expectations in the fourth quarter collectively make the bull case for the stock.
As ever, investors should note that there are no guarantees that fully autonomous robotaxis or publicly available unsupervised FSD will come to fruition, or even do so in a timely fashion. As such, Tesla is a speculative stock, but such stocks often warrant a small allocation in the riskier end of an investor's portfolio because the upside can be significant.
