HBAR’s $1 Dream: Can Hedera Outrun the Crypto Pack in 2025’s Bull Market?
Hedera’s HBAR token is flashing bullish signals as institutional adoption heats up—but can it really punch through the psychological $1 barrier this cycle?
The enterprise-grade blockchain has been quietly onboarding Fortune 500 players while competitors drown in ’decentralization theater.’ Now, with staking yields hitting double digits and transaction volumes spiking 300% since January, HBAR’s technicals suggest this isn’t just another altcoin pump.
Key factors in play:
- Institutional inflows: BlackRock’s recent tokenized fund experiment ran on Hedera, not Ethereum
- Regulatory tailwinds: SEC’s grudging nod to HBAR as ’not a security’ gives Wall Street clearance to play
- Hashgraph advantage: 10,000 TPS throughput makes ETH’s ’ultrasound money’ look dial-up
Of course, no crypto rally is complete without the usual suspects—retail FOMO, exchange listings, and that one hedge fund manager tweeting charts at 3 AM. But here’s the cynical kicker: if HBAR does moon, it’ll be because traditional finance finally found a blockchain they can stomach, not because crypto purists approved.
HBAR price prediction: can Hedera hit $1?
Hedera’s token was trading at $0.2185 on Monday, meaning that it needs to jump by 375% to reach the psychological milestone of $1. Such a move WOULD bring its market cap to $42 billion, a significant increase from the current $8.8 billion.
HBAR’s historical performance shows that a 375% increase from the current level is possible, as it has had similar rallies in the past.
The weekly chart shows that HBAR price bottomed at $0.1246 in April and then bounced back to $0.2185. It has moved above the key resistance level at $0.1815, the highest swing on April 22 last year — and the neckline of the double-bottom pattern at $0.04172.
Hedera’s token has moved above the 50-week Exponential Moving Average and the major S/R pivot point of the Murrey Math Lines tool. Moving above that pivot point is often seen as a highly bullish signal.
Some popular oscillators have started to point upward. The Relative Strength Index has moved above the neutral point at 50, indicating that momentum is building.
Therefore, with trade risks easingthe token is likely to keep rising, with the initial target at $0.3965 — the highest point this year, which is about 85% above the current level. It needs to MOVE above that level to invalidate the double-top pattern, whose neckline is at $0.1246.
After that, HBAR will need to cross the all-time high of $0.5820 for the path to $1 to become clear. A drop below the April low of $0.1245 will reduce the likelihood of it rising to $1 — at least in the current bullish cycle.
Potential catalysts for Hedera
Hedera has several catalysts that may push its price to $1 and above. First, the rally will depend on Bitcoin’s performance. Analysts are highly bullish on Bitcoin, citing the surging ETF inflowsand falling exchange supplies. Institutions like Strategy, MetaPlanet, and BlackRock have continued to buy Bitcoin this year. A strong Bitcoin surge would help other altcoins like Hedera.
HBAR price will also benefit from the potential ETF approval by the SEC. The agency has already approved HBAR ETF applications by Grayscale and Canary Capital, and Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas believes they stand a chance of approval.
Hedera also hopes to be a major player in the tokenization industry and has already inked several partnerships. It recently partnered with Tokeny Solutions, which works with top firms like Credit Agricole and ABNB Amro. Companies will likely choose Hedera for their RWA solutions because of its low transaction fees.
