XRP at a Critical Juncture: Explosive Breakout or Devastating Crash Ahead?

XRP teeters on a knife's edge—market whispers suggest make-or-break momentum is building. Will bulls catapult it past resistance, or will bears drag it into oblivion?

The crypto that loves to litigate

Ripple's favorite digital asset faces its familiar foe: uncertainty. Trading volumes tighten like a coiled spring while the SEC's shadow looms large—because nothing says 'decentralized' like a decade of courtroom drama.

Technical tightrope walk

Charts show converging wedges and exhausted whales. Liquidity pools cluster around key levels, waiting to get raided by algos or apes. This isn't analysis—it's a gladiator arena with candlesticks.

Gambler's choice: leverage up or bail out?

Traders face the ultimate casino dilemma as volatility compresses. The coming days could deliver 20% pumps or rug pulls—because in crypto, 'fundamentals' just means whose Twitter feed gets hacked next.

One truth remains: whether XRP moons or craters, Wall Street will still charge 2% fees to lose your money slower.

TLDR

• XRP is trading near its 200-day EMA after four retests since late May without a strong price rebound.
• Lark Davis believes XRP remains technically damaged despite maintaining its position among top cryptocurrencies.
• Davis considers XRP suitable for short-term trades but not for long-term holding unless tied to an ETF rally.
• The SEC is expected to make final decisions on multiple XRP ETF applications by the fourth quarter of 2025.
• Davis favors Litecoin over XRP due to its smaller market cap and greater potential for fast price gains on ETF news.

The recent price drop in XRP has led to renewed analysis from top crypto market watchers. With selling pressure rising, XRP continues to trade near a crucial support level. Analysts are now assessing whether this is a viable entry point or a setup for deeper losses.

XRP Holds the Line, but Technical Structure Remains Weak

XRP has tested the 200-day EMA four times since late May without producing any strong upward momentum. Although the asset still trades above this key support, it has shown signs of weakness across multiple timeframes. Traders are now focusing on this range to determine if XRP will hold or break lower.

Analyst Lark Davis emphasized XRP’s long-standing position among the top cryptocurrencies by market cap. He acknowledged the technical damage but underlined that XRP remains resilient above the 200-day EMA. According to his observation, this level has repeatedly served as an opportunity for short-term trades.

Is $XRP a good investment right now?

Here's my take! ⤵️ pic.twitter.com/SGs1CuVBSL

— Lark Davis (@TheCryptoLark) June 21, 2025

Despite these trading chances, Davis does not consider this the right moment for long-term accumulation. He said that buying large amounts now only makes sense if planning to exit during a possible ETF-driven rally. XRP ETF applications are currently under SEC review, with a final deadline approaching in Q4 2025.

Litecoin Attracts More Attention from Analysts

In contrast to XRP, Davis stated that Litecoin could offer a more favorable risk-reward setup due to its smaller market cap. Litecoin currently holds a $6 billion valuation, which is significantly lower than XRP’s $120 billion. This difference leads analysts to believe that LTC could respond more sharply to ETF-related news.

Davis added that in a scenario requiring a choice between XRP and LTC for a $100,000 investment, he WOULD select Litecoin. He believes LTC’s lower market cap allows for faster price expansion following bullish catalysts like ETF approvals. While XRP has a history of strong rallies, LTC may offer a quicker return under current conditions.

Despite XRP gaining over 300% in the past year, Litecoin has lagged with only a 9% rise. Still, analysts remain focused on future developments rather than past performance. With more ETF decisions expected this year, both coins remain under close watch by market observers.

Mixed Views on XRP’s Near-Term Price Action

While some analysts remain optimistic, others see lower prices ahead for XRP in the coming months. Analyst Arthur shared that the $2 level offers little value at this stage. He expects XRP to become more attractive closer to $1.30 or even NEAR $1.05.

🚨 While most are screaming “BREAKOUT” and calling for a new ATH on $XRP…

Here’s why I remain extremely cautious and why $1.30 could be a trap, not a bounce zone.👇 pic.twitter.com/f3yD8UPeV0

— Arthur (@XrpArthur) June 22, 2025

Other market participants disagree and view the current decline as a setup for future gains. Some expect XRP to cross $10 before year-end, driven by ETF momentum. These opposing views reflect ongoing uncertainty surrounding XRP’s short-term trajectory.