Cardano (ADA) Price: Multi-Year Channel Projects Explosive Rally to $6.25

Cardano's technical setup reveals one of the most compelling bullish patterns in crypto—and the target will make traditional finance sweat.

The Multi-Year Breakout

ADA's weekly chart shows a clean ascending channel that's been building since the 2018 bear market bottom. Each touch of the lower trendline has sparked massive rallies—and we're currently testing that exact level.

Why $6.25 Matters

This isn't random technical analysis. The $6.25 target represents the measured move from the channel's width projected upward. Hitting this level would represent a 1,200% gain from current prices—enough to make Wall Street's 'safe' 8% annual returns look like pocket change.

The Institutional FOMO Factor

While retail traders focus on daily volatility, smart money is accumulating ADA at these levels. The channel's resilience across multiple market cycles suggests this is more than just speculation—it's mathematical probability playing out.

Of course, traditional analysts will call this reckless until their clients demand crypto exposure. By then, the early movers will have already captured the majority of gains—typical finance laggards playing catch-up as usual.

TLDR

• Technical analyst Charting Guy maintains that Cardano could reach $6.25 this cycle if the multi-year rising channel and uptrend structure continue to hold.
• ADA is currently trading at $0.67, up 4.8% in 24 hours with daily volume exceeding $1.1 billion, after breaking above a descending trendline.
• Key resistance sits at $1.15694 (the 0.618 Fibonacci level), which must break on weekly closes for higher targets to become accessible.
• Critical support is located at $0.62932 (the 0.382 Fibonacci level), and losing this level on a weekly close would damage the bullish structure.
• The $6.25 target represents the 1.272 Fibonacci extension level and aligns with upper parallels of the multi-year channel that has contained price action since 2018-2019.

Cardano is trading at $0.67 after climbing nearly 5% in the past 24 hours. Daily trading volume has surpassed $1.1 billion, reflecting increased market participation.

Independent technical analyst Charting Guy has resurfaced his Fibonacci roadmap for ADA. His analysis centers on a multi-year rising channel that has contained Cardano’s price action since the 2018-2019 base period.

The channel features a lower rail currently passing through the $0.33 to $0.35 area. A midline has served as a recurring pivot point since 2020. Overhead parallels intersect with Fibonacci extension targets that project further into the cycle.

$ADA is fine as long as uptrend holds https://t.co/C7Vo4zzdMl pic.twitter.com/hIUVDuF6oo

— Charting Guy (@ChartingGuy) October 25, 2025

According to the analyst’s October 26 post, ADA remains in good standing as long as the uptrend holds. The chart shows a series of higher highs and higher lows since the fourth quarter of 2023.

The Fibonacci retracement levels provide specific price markers for traders to monitor. The ladder starts at $0.23488 as the zero level, derived from the 2021 peak to the cycle low. Key levels include $0.33360, $0.43180, and $0.62932 at the 0.382 mark.

The 0.5 retracement sits at $0.85. Higher levels are marked at $1.15694 (0.618), $1.43911 (0.702), $1.78464 (0.786), $2.32189 (0.888), and $3.09981 at full retracement. Extension targets above that stack include $6.25325 at the 1.272 level, $9.00941 at 1.414, and $15.26831 at the 1.618 extension.

Critical Resistance and Support Levels

The 0.618 Fibonacci level at $1.15694 has capped advances during rallies through spring and summer. This level represents strong resistance that must be converted to support on weekly closes for higher targets to open up.

Pullbacks have consistently found buying support NEAR the 0.382 pivot at $0.62932. This level serves as the key support zone in the current structure.

The analyst posted on September 18 that ADA had confirmed a higher low and was targeting the 1.272 Fibonacci extension this cycle. The yellow waypoint on his chart for the next higher high sits near $2.30, deliberately aligned with the 0.888 level at $2.32189.

On the intraday charts, ADA shows a steady sequence of higher lows since mid-October. Short-term resistance appears near $0.71, while support has formed around $0.66 to $0.67. A breakout above $0.71 could push price toward $0.78.

Technical indicators show the RSI trending above 60. This reading indicates solid momentum without reaching overbought territory yet. The reading is considered healthy for potential continuation of the current move.

Trendline Break Confirms Pattern

Analysis from trader Sssebi shows Cardano has broken above its multi-day descending trendline. The chart displays a clear inverse head and shoulders structure with neckline confirmation near $0.66.

After breaking the trendline, $ADA manages to set a new local high and confirms the trend reversal🔥

Next target to the upside is around $0.71$ADA can still come down to retest the trendline it broke before heading higher. https://t.co/n8ope8K4cQ pic.twitter.com/KyC7eqrjBL

— Sssebi🦁 (@Av_Sebastian) October 27, 2025

This pattern validates the shift from bearish to bullish structure. The breakout occurred with volume support, which strengthens the technical signal.

Another analyst known as Chill Guy points to a brief consolidation or retest near $0.66 as typical behavior following a breakout. Such retests can reinforce structural stability before the next upward move.

The measured target for this breakout pattern sits between $0.74 and $0.77. This range represents a potential 10% to 12% upside if volume continues to support the move. A sustained close above $0.70 WOULD confirm momentum resumption.

Charting Guy’s macro view emphasizes that ADA continues to FORM a higher high and higher low pattern. This structure is characteristic of a healthy uptrend. Each major correction since 2023 has produced a new base higher than the previous one.

The current structure is breaking out of a multi-month descending channel. Similar setups preceded ADA’s previous bull runs according to the analyst’s historical comparison.

The risk management framework remains clear in the analysis. Losing the 0.382 level at $0.62932 on a weekly closing basis would impair the constructive stance. Such a breakdown would shift focus back to $0.43180 and $0.33360, with $0.23488 defining the absolute boundary of the cycle floor.

The $6.25 target is not an isolated price projection. It intersects with the upper parallels of the multi-year rising channel further out in time. This intersection means the extension target is geometrically consistent with the channel structure that has governed cardano since the last cycle’s base.

A sustained weekly close above $1.15694 would validate an attempt toward $1.44, $1.78, and $2.32. The $3.10 level represents the final retracement before extension mathematics take over. Beyond that zone, the path opens to the 1.272 extension at $6.25325.

Cardano’s market cap currently stands above $25 billion. This places ADA in the top 15 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. The asset trades at $0.67 with the technical structure intact and the uptrend channel still holding after multiple years.