BTCC / BTCC Square / WatcherWGuru /
US Dollar in Freefall: Is 2025 the Year It Crashes Beyond Recovery?

US Dollar in Freefall: Is 2025 the Year It Crashes Beyond Recovery?

Published:
2025-07-16 11:07:00
4
1

The greenback's nosedive has Wall Street sweating—but the real pain might just be starting.


From reserve currency to recession relic

Once-unshakable faith in the USD now looks like blind allegiance as BRICS nations and crypto eat its lunch. Central banks keep printing, traders keep shorting, and Bitcoin maximalists won't shut up about it.


The perfect storm no one's prepared for

With inflation still gnawing at purchasing power and the debt ceiling becoming a recurring horror show, even traditional finance bros are quietly stacking Satoshis. Gold? That's your grandpa's hedge.


Bottom line
: The dollar's not dying—it's being crowdsourced out of existence. (But hey, at least the stock market's hitting ATHs on pure hopium.)

US Dollar Index (DXY)

Source: Investing.com – US Dollar Index (DXY) Data as of July 4, 2025

Investors are fleeing toward alternatives such as gold, euros, and yuan, with central banks also accelerating their diversification away from US assets. This historic downturn raises critical questions about just how much further the world’s reserve currency might fall.

Why The Dollar’s Crash Fuels Gold Gains, Euro Surge, And Yuan Power

Us Dollar Chinese Yuan Flags

Source: Reuters / Jason Lee / Illustration

Central Banks Drive Gold Rush Amid Dollar Uncertainty

The ongoing dollar fall has prompted central banks, particularly in China, to aggressively buy Gold as an alternative to US assets. Net assets in gold exchange-traded products have reached $326 billion as the US Dollar Index crash continues to unfold. This gold vs dollar dynamic in 2025 shows precious metals significantly outperforming the weakening greenback.

Central banks, particularly in China, have been aggressively accumulating gold to diversify away from the US dollar. This represents a clear sign that investors are turning to gold again, driven by its reputation as an inflation hedge. Gold’s 2025 inflows are being fueled by macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty, central bank diversification, and investor anxiety around inflation risk.

The shift toward gold represents a fundamental change in how central banks are managing their reserves right now, with many questioning just how much worse the dollar fall might become.

Euro Emerges As Primary Beneficiary Of Dollar Weakness

The euro dollar forecast shows significant upside potential as the currency emerges as the strongest G10 performer in June 2025. At the time of writing, the yuan dollar trend also favors Asian currencies over the weakening greenback, with investors seeking stability outside US assets.

USD to EUR Historical Exchange Rates

Source: Morningstar Direct

Chris Turner, global head of markets at ING, wrote:

J. Safra Sarasin FX strategist Claudio Wewel explains:

Yuan Strengthens As Dollar Dominance Questioned

The yuan dollar trend shows strengthening momentum as China reduces dollar dependency. JPMorgan expects the yuan to reach 7.15 against the dollar by end-2025, and this reflects broader questions about how much worse the dollar fall might become. Chinese banks have also reduced their dollar lending to other emerging markets, increasing yuan-denominated lending instead.

ODDO BHF Chief Investment Officer Jan Viebig explains:

Hong Cheng, Morningstar’s head of fixed income and currency research, said:

The US Dollar Index crash has been accelerated by Fed policy uncertainty, with the euro dollar forecast pointing to 1.20 by year-end. The gold vs dollar performance gap in 2025 continues widening as investors seek alternatives, and many are asking just how much worse the dollar fall could get.

Cheng also stated:

|Square

Get the BTCC app to start your crypto journey

Get started today Scan to join our 100M+ users