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De-Dollarization Now: The Hidden Dangers of a Dominant US Dollar in 2025

De-Dollarization Now: The Hidden Dangers of a Dominant US Dollar in 2025

Published:
2025-06-17 19:17:00
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The US dollar''s iron grip on global finance is cracking—and the world''s finally waking up to the risks.

Why the rush to ditch the dollar? Blame the Fed''s monetary whiplash and weaponized SWIFT sanctions. Countries from BRICS to banana republics are building escape hatches.

Gold reserves up. Bilateral trade deals in yuan exploding. Even Bitcoin''s making a comeback as geopolitical insurance.

The dollar won''t collapse tomorrow—but the exodus has begun. Smart money''s already hedging with crypto and commodities while Wall Street still peddles ''strong dollar'' Kool-Aid.

Remember: every reserve currency falls eventually. This time, the alternatives actually work.

Why De-Dollarization Is Accelerating Amid Strong Dollar Pressure

JP Morgan''s New US Dollar Forecast Flags Growing Threat

Source: JP Morgan

BRICS Nations Lead Dollar Alternatives

The risks of maintaining a strong dollar are becoming clear as BRICS nations lead the charge toward dollar alternatives. Russia eliminated the US dollar from its National Wealth Fund back in 2021, and China has also launched yuan-denominated oil futures, creating what’s known as the petroyuan system that directly challenges the traditional petrodollar setup. Even more, 50 nations now use yuan, rupee, ruble, and not only for oil and defense trade through BRICS partnerships.

Andy Schectman, president of Miles Franklin, was clear about the fact that:

Central Banks Abandon Dollar for Gold

Central banks worldwide are abandoning the dollar for Gold at unprecedented rates, and they’ve been purchasing more gold than any time since records began in 1950. Countries such as China, Russia, and India are stockpiling gold reserves to hedge against financial instability and geopolitical risks that come with dollar exposure.

Frank Giustra, co-chair of the International Crisis Group, believes that some FORM of de-dollarization appears inevitable, particularly after the sanctions against Russia that prompted many countries to reconsider their dollar dependency. The US dollar global impact is being questioned more than ever before.

Trump’s Weakening Strategy Backfires

Trump’s strategy to weaken the dollar is actually backfiring and creating more instability right now. His proposed “Mar-a-Lago Accord” aims to force other countries to help weaken the dollar, but this approach is facing significant resistance.

EU-US trade balance 2014–2024

Source: Eurostat

David Lubin, senior research fellow at Chatham House, explained the basic mechanics:

Anthony Abrahamian from Rothschild & Co Wealth Management warned that Trump’s approach creates problems, noting that policymakers and finance ministers alike will likely meet such an accord today with resistance.

The ongoing currency battles have created what Wall Street is calling the “Sell America” trade, and US stocks have been underperforming as these Trump-China trade tensions continue to escalate.

Market Chaos and Future Risks

Former Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen described the recent market patterns as “very unusual,” and she suggested that international investors are questioning Treasury debt’s foundational role amid this growing financial instability.

When the dollar strengthens, American products become more expensive for foreign buyers, which reduces demand and market share abroad. This hurts exporters and also impacts domestic companies’ foreign operations significantly. Large technology companies and industrial manufacturers are particularly vulnerable since they derive much of their revenue from overseas markets.

For example, if a company earns ¥10 billion in Japan, it will book $62.5 million in profits when the dollar trades at 160 USD/JPY. But if the dollar strengthens to 170 USD/JPY, it WOULD yield just $58.8 million – a direct hit to corporate earnings that shows why strong dollar risks matter for investors.

Still Dollarising At An Alarming Rate

Despite these steps towards dollar dissociation, Bank of America analysts think that the world is actually dollarising at an alarming pace as indicated by the growing nonbank financial intermediaries.

Alfonso Peccatiello, who founded Macro Compass, warned about the history precedent. Historically, huge geopolitical strains, or in simpler terms, wars, have always followed the changes of the global reserve currency, as a rule. The rapidly increasing tempo of the de-dollarization demand, the rising likelihood of a towering dollar, trade-war relationships with China in the offing, and the onrush of the currency-war whirlwind in 2025, are blending to create financial volatility that has not been seen before.

This situation threatens the dollar’s reserve status while also raising the possibility of triggering broader global economic disruption in the months ahead.

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