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Vanguard Turns Bearish on S&P 500: A Signal for Crypto’s Rise?

Vanguard Turns Bearish on S&P 500: A Signal for Crypto’s Rise?

Published:
2025-12-16 19:09:00
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S&P 500: Why Vanguard is Getting Bearish on the Index

When a $7 trillion giant flinches, markets listen. Vanguard's sudden bearish pivot on the S&P 500 isn't just a stock story—it's a flashing neon sign for the future of finance.

The Old Guard Hits a Wall

Traditional indices are groaning under the weight of legacy logic. Centralized bottlenecks, quarterly guesswork, and regulatory whiplash create a system that's reactive, not resilient. Vanguard's caution is a symptom, not the disease.

Digital Assets Don't Wait for Permission

While traditional finance debates P/E ratios, crypto networks execute. Smart contracts settle in seconds, decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs) allocate capital globally, and tokenization turns illiquid assets into tradable 24/7 markets. This isn't speculation; it's infrastructure being built in real-time, often bypassing the very gatekeepers now expressing doubt.

The Math Favors Disruption

The numbers tell a stark tale. Compare the innovation velocity. It's the difference between a committee-approved software update and a globally synchronized protocol upgrade. One moves at the speed of bureaucracy, the other at the speed of the internet. Where would you deploy capital?

A Cynical Nod to the Past

Let's be honest—Wall Street's 'prudence' often looks a lot like missing the point until it's too expensive to ignore. Remember when 'diversification' meant 60/40 stocks and bonds, not a digital asset portfolio? Yeah, neither do the algorithms.

The takeaway is clear. Institutional bearishness on old paradigms is the most bullish signal for new ones. The capital seeking alpha won't vanish; it will migrate. And the architecture for that migration is being coded, validated, and secured on blockchains right now. The index fund era had a great run. The next one is programmable.

Other Wall Street Remain Bullish on the S&P 500 Index

On the other hand, Top stock market strategists at JPMorgan have issued a bullish price forecast for the S&P 500 (^GSPC), signaling strong belief in the 2026 stock market. Indeed, the firm’s equity strategy team, led by Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, set a year-end price target of 7,500 for the index in 2026. “Despite AI bubble and valuation concerns, we see current elevated multiples correctly anticipating above-trend earnings growth, an AI capex boom, rising shareholder payouts, and easier fiscal policy (i.e. [One Big Beautiful Bill Act]),” the firm wrote in a note to clients at the end of November.

Furthermore, another bullish S&P 500 price prediction comes from Deutsche Bank. The bank is predicting the index to also breach the 8000 mark. Deutsche Bank cites AI-driven gains bolstering corporate earnings, which can usher in a golden new era for the S&P 500 to bank on. The bank was also quick to forecast how S&P earnings per share may end up hitting $320 per share.

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