Bitcoin to Outperform S&P 500 by 40% Yearly—Strategy Chief Drops Bombshell Prediction
Wall Street's traditional playbook is gathering dust while Bitcoin rewrites the rules. According to a top strategy boss, the crypto giant is poised to leave the S&P 500 in the dust—by a staggering 40% annually. No wonder hedge funds are quietly shifting allocations while retail investors still chase meme stocks.
Forget 'slow and steady'—this is digital gold on rocket fuel. The prediction hinges on Bitcoin's hardening scarcity (thanks to those halvings), institutional adoption, and its growing role as both inflation hedge and tech bet. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 struggles with aging bull market math and—let's be honest—the occasional accounting 'creativity' from blue-chip CFOs.
One cynical footnote? The same analysts now hyping crypto returns spent 2022 calling it a 'fraud.' Funny how performance changes narratives faster than a Coinbase server crash.

- Michael Saylor says Wall Street still misunderstands the scale and value of the crypto market.
- Strategy’s Bitcoin strategy is designed to beat the S&P 500 by around 40% a year.
- He expects the “Bitcoin standard” to become a normal part of corporate finance.
Michael Saylor, Executive Chairman of Strategy, believes traditional finance has yet to grasp the full power of the crypto economy. Speaking in a recent interview, he said Bitcoin has delivered average annual returns of more than 50% over the long run, yet is still judged by old metrics that fail to capture its growth potential.
Strategy ranks as the fourth most profitable financial company in the country and sits among the top in the S&P 500 for profitability. Still, its market value remains low when compared through measures like the P/E ratio.
Saylor argues that companies holding only U.S. Treasuries will see their capital returns fall about 10% behind the market each year. Those that MOVE to a Bitcoin-based treasury could outperform the S&P 500 by around 40% annually. He sees this shift as inevitable in corporate strategy.
Using Bitcoin’s Strength for Bigger Returns
Saylor explained that Strategy aims to deliver double Bitcoin’s return to its shareholders. The company uses credit instruments to amplify performance, aiming for 2x Bitcoin’s gains. While bitcoin has averaged more than 50% a year over the long term, Strategy’s structure pushes that potential closer to 100% for equity investors.
Part of the gain is shared with credit investors through higher yields, while the rest flows to shareholders. Saylor sees this as a way to turn balance sheets into growth tools, rather than relying on assets that lose value in real terms. In his view, keeping capital in traditional treasuries is like letting it slowly burn away, while BTC offers the chance to multiply it.
Crypto Innovation Is Accelerating
The pace of change in the crypto industry is also a key focus for Saylor. He pointed to the recent $600 million raised for The Open Network (TON) coin as an example of how fast new projects are scaling. Stablecoins, Ethereum, and other blockchain-based platforms are expanding the reach of digital finance.
Saylor highlighted Telegram’s plan to let users send BTC and stablecoins instantly within its app. He sees this as a step toward a future where a billion people could store and move their wealth digitally, with speed and security.
With a friendlier policy climate, he expects thousands of new ideas to emerge. For him, Bitcoin will remain at the center of this transformation, eventually becoming the standard for corporate capital worldwide.