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XRP ETF Odds Soar to 83%—Leaving Bitcoin in the Dust, Predicts Polymarket

XRP ETF Odds Soar to 83%—Leaving Bitcoin in the Dust, Predicts Polymarket

Author:
Tronweekly
Published:
2025-05-29 13:00:00
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Move over, Bitcoin—XRP just stole the ETF spotlight. Prediction platform Polymarket now gives Ripple’s token a staggering 83% chance of landing the first crypto spot ETF approval. Wall Street’s gonna love the irony.

Why the bullish bet? Insiders whisper that regulators—always late to the party—might finally be warming to XRP’s legal clarity post-lawsuit. Meanwhile, Bitcoin ETF hopefuls are stuck in paperwork purgatory.

One hedge fund manager yawns: ’We’ll believe it when the SEC rubber-stamps something that doesn’t make them look incompetent.’

XRP Leads with 83% Chance of Spot ETF Approval, Says Polymarket

  • When it comes to spot ETFs, investors’ trust is recognized in XRP which has a 83% chance of being approved, followed by SOL and LTC at 80%. 
  • While approval odds for DOGE and ADA have grown from the low 50% range to over 70%, PEPE approval is only at 9%. 
  • Altcoin ETF approvals could drive mainstream adoption, boosting their market value.

New updates have emerged from Polymarket about the chances of major altcoins getting spot ETF approvals in 2025. According to the Polymarket data shared by CryptoRank.io, five out of six major altcoins, XRP, SOL, DOGE, ADA, and LTC, currently have a strong likelihood of receiving this approval, with probabilities above 68%.

Crypto ETF Approval Probabilities: XRP & SOL Dominate, PEPE Trails Far Behind

XRP is quickly gaining approval odds, showing that investors are quite confident about its future. SOL and LTC come next with odds which stand around 80%.

The chances for both ADA and Doge have risen by 20% or more after Polymarket launched its prediction markets. DOGE shows a 68% chance of approval, falling on the lower end of this group.

Furthermore, Pepe is an unusual exception since it has only a 9% possibility of being approved for an ETF. This road to odds hasn’t been the same over time. Since Polymarket began these predictions, the odds for ADA, DOGE, and LTC have been moving up, which reflects a growing sense of hope.

XRP and SOL were thought to have high potential and have stayed strong, changing in only a small amount from 80%. According to Polymarket’s chart, shown on CryptoRank.io, the daily shifts in probabilities can be seen through lines crossing on the chart over time.

AD 4nXc xW6dVaZ6uUKvQqimmYCFJnPpp3RGVyt5EgjqrpM2ZGrBEfZuc4hs lKnC6Kwys4 QETCeJVi00A4j0vZkHkKBgn kiAll7eTKft6 KpAmfNAT 8CIH1963iSjKHZKJD7Yh4?key=Nq4bur lX7J0v9mv23Y4HQ

Source: X (@CryptoRank_io)

Approvals for Altcoin ETFs Could Change the Entire Crypto Space

This progress matters because ETF approval could help altcoins become more popular, resulting in a possible boost in their value. As a result, investors have more ways to engage with crypto, but the market’s unpredictability exposes them to risks.

This data predicts the outcomes, but it’s all just a guess until it’s officially announced. For now, the focus remains on these six altcoins as the crypto community watches Polymarket’s odds for clues.

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