XRP Nails Make-or-Break Trend Ribbon: Long-Term Surge Targets $5–$8
XRP bulls are holding their breath as the digital asset flirts with a critical technical threshold—the trend ribbon. This isn't just another resistance level; it's the line that separates a grinding consolidation from a potential parabolic move.
The Technical Crossroads
Market charts are flashing a decisive signal. The convergence of key moving averages—the so-called trend ribbon—has formed a formidable barrier. A clean breakout above this ribbon could trigger a cascade of algorithmic and institutional buying, while a rejection here might condemn XRP to sideways purgatory for another cycle. The setup is textbook: compression before expansion.
Mapping the Long Game
For the true believers, this isn't about a 10% pop. The real narrative is the long-term chart structure, which analysts argue paints a path toward the $5 to $8 range. That target isn't plucked from thin air; it's derived from historical fractal patterns and measured moves from previous accumulation zones. It’s a high-conviction, multi-year thesis that ignores the daily noise of crypto Twitter.
The price action now is about gathering the energy for that larger move. Every test of the ribbon strengthens it or breaks it. The market, in its infinite wisdom (and occasional resemblance to a casino), is about to cast its vote. After all, in traditional finance, they'd charge you a 2% management fee just to watch this chart for you.
2025 Structure Shows Bullish Characteristics
Compared to the previous cycles, XRP is seen to have crossed over the monthly trend line in the Year 2025, and the trend line is now turning up.
This is typically the case when a bearish phase turns into a bullish phase. Pullbacks in the pricing have so far remained minimal, and former resistance points are now turning into support points.
In the weekly chart, the price of XRP increased in early 2025, breaking out of a longer-term range, initiating a strong advance. In this recent halt, it seems more a result of controlled-profit taking rather than panic selling.
Source: Tradingview
The technical pattern remains positive, with the price remaining above the 100-week moving average and 200-week moving average, currently at approximately $1.80 and $1.38, respectively.
XRP Faces Key Resistance at $2.25–$2.35
XRP is currently testing the level of $2.25 to $2.35, where the 20-week and 50-week moving averages converge.It could exhibit new signs of upward momentum beyond the Fibonacci extension level of $2.80 to $3.60 if the weekly close remains higher than the said range.
More ambitious targets for longer-term traders remain at $5.50 and $8.30, pending a risk-on market environment.
Source: Tradingview
The range between 0.382 and 0.5 Fib retracement levels is an important area that indicates a decision point. To hold this area suggests that the correction may merely be a retracement.
For the retracement to extend to the 0.618 level that approaches $1.35 to $1.40, it still WOULD be appropriate in a healthy bullish scenario.
