The crypto courtroom drama of the decade might finally be reaching its endgame. Ripple and the SEC are reportedly closing in on a resolution—and XRP holders are strapping in for potential fireworks.
Market watchers are buzzing: could this legal ceasefire trigger the mother of all relief rallies? We’re talking parabolic moves that’d make your traditional finance broker spill their triple-shot latte.
No crystal balls here, but history shows crypto assets love regulatory clarity almost as much as Wall Street loves bailouts. The real question isn’t if XRP reacts—it’s how violently.
One thing’s certain: the SEC’s three-year crusade taught the industry to lawyer up faster than a Goldman Sachs intern. Whatever happens next, the charts won’t be boring.

Possible XRP Immediate Price Reaction
Google GeminiPossible XRP Immediate Price Reaction | Google Gemini
Looking further, Gemini highlighted a growth path. Amid the legal clarity, Ripple could push its expansion across the U.S. market. Notably, more financial institutions might partner with Ripple now that the legal risk has eased.
Moreover, the chances of a spot XRP ETF entering the U.S. market have increased. In addition to this, Gemini pointed to stronger developer interest in the XRP Ledger as a factor that could add long-term utility and support for XRP's value.
In this scenario, Gemini set a price range between $5 and $8 for XRP over the next year. Specifically, it says a $5 outcome would reflect steady progress, while $8 would suggest aggressive growth fueled by major developments like ETF approvals, strong adoption, and a broader crypto bull market.

XRP Price One Year Later Google GeminiXRP Price One Year Later | Google Gemini
Background of the 4-Year Ripple v. SEC Lawsuit
For context, the SEC first sued Ripple in December 2020, accusing it of raising $1.3 billion through unregistered sales of XRP. Ripple pushed back, arguing that XRP is a digital asset, not a security.
In July 2023, Judge Torres ruled that XRP isn't a security in and of itself, but she also found Ripple guilty of securities violations in its institutional sales. That led to a $125 million penalty.
However, in January 2025, the SEC filed an appeal, aiming to reverse parts of the earlier decision, and Ripple also filed a cross-appeal. Then in May, both sides floated a tentative $50 million settlement following new SEC leadership. Nonetheless, most recently, the judge rejected their request and left the original penalties in place.
Ripple has now responded by dropping its appeal, and the SEC is expected to follow. It bears mentioning that the court's decision that XRP is not a security in the open market remains unchanged, and both sides appear ready to
MOVE forward with the $125 million penalty and the permanent injunction on Ripple.