Cardano''s chart flashes red as a ominous falling wedge takes shape. The once-bullish darling of ''Ethereum killers'' now stares down a brutal 50-cent floor—a level not seen since the depths of the 2023 crypto winter.
Technical Breakdown
That textbook descending wedge isn''t just bearish—it''s a potential wrecking ball for ADA holders. Each failed breakout attempt since Q1 2025 has only strengthened resistance, with trading volume drying up like a DeFi project''s liquidity pool after a hack.
Market Realities
While Cardano''s devs keep promising ''institutional adoption,'' the price action screams ''retail capitulation.'' If the $0.50 support cracks, brace for a cascade of stop-loss triggers that could send ADA into the abyss—because nothing fuels a crypto sell-off like a self-fulfilling prophecy dressed as technical analysis.
Bottom Line: In a market where ''fundamentals'' are just Twitter thread fodder, that chart might be the only truth left. Either the wedge breaks upward with heroic volume, or ADA becomes another casualty of crypto''s favorite pastime—finding lower lows.

Cardano Price Chart
Notably, two converging trendlines on the daily chart form a falling wedge pattern. The current intraday candle shows a minor lower wick, suggesting a potential reversal.
However, the recent pullback has intensified bearish pressure, reflected in momentum indicators. The MACD and signal lines have shifted into a bearish alignment, accompanied by a fresh red histogram on the daily chart.
Similarly, the RSI has dropped to 38, approaching the oversold zone, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. Together, these indicators warn of a potential breakdown if bearish momentum continues.
A close below the support trendline would significantly increase the likelihood of
Cardano retesting the $0.50 psychological level.
Conversely, a bullish breakout from the falling wedge, initiated by a rebound from the support trendline, could push ADA toward the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.7746.
ADA Derivatives
Cardano’s open interest has declined by 6.16% over the past 24 hours, indicating a sharp drop in trader optimism. As of now, open interest stands at $792.61 million, while the OI-weighted funding rate has flipped into negative territory at -0.0132%.

Cardano DerivativesCardano Derivatives
This shift suggests a notable surge in bearish activity over the last 8 hours, primarily driven by increased long liquidations. According to available data, long liquidations total $6.97 million, compared to just $131K in short liquidations, signaling a significant wipeout of bullish positions.
As a result, the long-to-short ratio has dropped to 0.9033 in the past 24 hours, reflecting a bearish outlook among derivatives traders.