Ethereum’s $4K Breakout: Fueled by $33B in Open Interest or Just Another Trader Fantasy?

Ethereum bulls are back in force—open interest hits a staggering $33 billion as traders pile into ETH’s upward momentum. But is this the rocket fuel needed to blast past $4,000, or just leverage-heavy gamblers setting themselves up for a liquidation bloodbath?

Futures markets scream confidence, yet seasoned crypto vets know: when derivatives markets get this frothy, even a 2% dip can trigger cascading liquidations. Wall Street’s ’risk management’ algorithms are probably already licking their chops.

One thing’s certain: if ETH does moon, the suits will suddenly ’discover’ its utility—right after they finish front-running retail traders.

Ethereum Price Chart Thanks to this recovery, ethereum has broken out of a falling channel pattern, effectively ending the bearish trend that began in December 2024. Moreover, with the 50% Fibonacci level acting as the neckline, ETH is forming a rounding bottom pattern. Rising bullish momentum has driven the RSI into the overbought zone, supporting this breakout trend and indicating strong buying pressure. Additionally, the 50—and 100-day EMA lines are on the verge of a bullish crossover. This signals a potential short-term trend reversal and increases the likelihood of a golden crossover. If ETH achieves a decisive close above the 50% Fibonacci level at $2,699, a breakout could occur. The bullish target, based on adding the depth of the pattern to the neckline, points to the 100% Fibonacci level near $4,000. This suggests a potential 50% upside as the bull run continues. On the downside, crucial support for ETH lies at the 200-day EMA at $2,436. Bullish Narrative Grows Stronger in Ethereum Futures Derivative traders are betting big on Ethereum’s continued rally. According to CoinGlass data, Ethereum open interest has surged by nearly 17%, reaching an all-time high of $33.12 billion.

Ethereum Derivatives Data Analysis Furthermore, the funding rate, now at 0.0088%, signals heightened bullish activity. A sharp increase in short liquidations amounting to $113 million in the past 24 hours reinforces the bullish sentiment. Together, these metrics support the likelihood of a breakout rally in Ethereum futures. Analyst Highlights Key Breakout, Sets Target at $3,033 REKT Capital maintains a bullish outlook on Ethereum. The analyst notes the surge in futures, with ETH surpassing the daily CME gap between $2,530 and $2,630. A daily close above this zone would fully reclaim the CME gap and restore a bullish trend. Ethereum’s next target is the CME gap between $2,892 and $3,033. https://twitter.com/rektcapital/status/1922369889823506507/