XRP Primed for $30 Rally? ETF Inflows Could Mirror 35% of Bitcoin’s Success

XRP's price could rocket to $30 if its ETFs capture just 35% of Bitcoin ETF flows—proving once again that crypto markets thrive on hype as much as fundamentals.

Wall Street's latest shiny toy—crypto ETFs—might be XRP's golden ticket. While Bitcoin ETFs have dominated headlines (and inflows), Ripple's native token is now positioning itself for a piece of the action. The math is simple: replicate a fraction of Bitcoin's ETF success, and XRP could see a parabolic move.

Market mechanics suggest this isn't pure fantasy. ETF flows create buy pressure, liquidity follows, and suddenly every hedge fund manager who couldn't spell 'blockchain' in 2020 becomes a crypto evangelist. The $30 target? Ambitious, but in a market where dog-themed coins hit billion-dollar valuations, stranger things have happened.

Of course, this assumes regulators don't throw another curveball—because nothing spices up crypto markets like unexpected government intervention. One thing's certain: if the ETF gamble pays off, XRP holders will be laughing all the way to the bank while traditional finance scrambles to keep up.

The Price Impact of ETF Inflows

To break down the numbers, 35% of Bitcoin ETF inflows equates to roughly $16.33 billion in new investments directed into XRP ETFs. However, price movements in the cryptocurrency market rarely align exactly one-for-one with capital inflows. Traders and analysts often apply multipliers to estimate the potential increase in market capitalization driven by new funds. Historically, these multipliers have sometimes reached up to 674x, though such extremes are rare and may exaggerate expectations.

For a conservative and realistic forecast, analysts used a 100x multiplier on the anticipated $16.33 billion inflow, resulting in a potential $1.633 trillion increase in XRP’s market cap. Currently, XRP trades at about $2.13 per token, with a circulating supply of 58.93 billion XRP and a market cap NEAR $125.87 billion.

Adding $1.633 trillion to XRP’s existing market capitalization would elevate the total to approximately $1.759 trillion. Dividing this by the circulating supply translates to an xrp price near $29.89—almost $30 per token. Such a leap would mark one of the most significant price surges in XRP’s history and firmly place it among the top digital assets by market value.

Growing Confidence in XRP ETF Approval

The idea of XRP ETFs receiving regulatory approval in the U.S. has gained considerable momentum. Bloomberg’s analysts have noted ongoing engagement between the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and ETF applicants. While approval is not yet certain, the consensus is that it is only a matter of time.

Prediction platforms like Polymarket reflect this optimism, with odds for an XRP ETF approval in 2025 climbing to approximately 88%. This bullish sentiment is further supported by the growing institutional interest. Major financial firms including Franklin Templeton, 21Shares, and Bitwise have all filed applications for spot XRP ETFs, which are currently under review by the SEC.

Franklin Templeton’s proposal has attracted particular attention. Although the SEC recently delayed its decision, this pause aligns with standard regulatory procedures. The SEC has also opened a public comment period, allowing investors and stakeholders to submit their views before a final ruling is made.

Global Momentum and Regulatory Developments

While the U.S. regulatory environment awaits a decision, Canada has taken the lead by introducing three spot XRP ETFs on the Toronto Stock Exchange. This MOVE underscores the global demand for regulated XRP investment products and sets a precedent that U.S. regulators may soon follow.

If the U.S. market approves XRP ETFs and they capture even a fraction of the inflows seen by Bitcoin ETFs, XRP could experience unprecedented growth. The inflows would not only boost price but also deepen liquidity and expand XRP’s adoption in institutional portfolios.

Conclusion

With XRP ETF approval odds at a high 95%, the stage appears set for XRP to capture substantial new investment inflows. If XRP ETFs manage to attract 35% of bitcoin ETF capital inflows, XRP’s market cap could swell by over $1.6 trillion, propelling the price close to $30 per token. Given the current market dynamics, regulatory progress, and strong institutional interest, XRP is positioned for one of the biggest price rallies seen in the crypto space.

Investors and market watchers will be closely monitoring developments around XRP ETFs in the coming months, as any official green light from regulators could trigger significant price movements. This emerging opportunity highlights the growing maturity and evolving landscape of digital asset investment products.