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Bitcoin Price Breaks Bull Flag Pattern – Is $137K the Next Stop? Experts Weigh In

Bitcoin Price Breaks Bull Flag Pattern – Is $137K the Next Stop? Experts Weigh In

Published:
2025-07-05 00:11:02
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Bitcoin’s price has surged past $109,500, sparking bullish momentum as analysts predict a potential rally to $137,000. Key factors include a confirmed bull flag breakout, strong ETF inflows, and seasonal trends favoring July rallies. Veteran trader Peter Brandt added fuel to the fire with a cheeky chart reversal, while 10x Research and other analysts doubled down on bullish targets. With BTC already up 4% in 24 hours and futures open interest climbing, the stage seems set for fireworks—but can history repeat itself?

Bitcoin bull flag chart analysis

Source: TradingView

Why Are Analysts Bullish on Bitcoin’s $137K Target?

The crypto sphere is buzzing after Bitcoin’s decisive breakout above $109,500, with heavyweights like 10x Research pointing to a textbook bull flag pattern. Markus Thielen’s team highlighted three turbochargers for BTC: shrinking exchange reserves (supply squeeze alert!), relentless ETF demand, and political pressure for Fed rate cuts. Historical data adds spice—BTC has rallied in 7 of the last 10 Julys, averaging 9.1% gains. "This isn’t just technicals," notes a BTCC analyst. "It’s the perfect storm of institutional FOMO and macroeconomic tailwinds."

Peter Brandt’s Troll Job or Genius Signal?

The OG trader pulled a fast one on July 3rd by posting an inverted BTC chart asking, "Is this a bear flag?" Cue collective facepalms—before everyone realized he was actually spotlighting a pristine bull flag setup. Though Brandt played coy about price targets, the chart’s measured MOVE suggests $140K isn’t moon math. Pro tip: When a trader with 40+ years’ experience trolls, pay attention to the subtext.

What’s Fueling the Bitcoin Rally Right Now?

Current metrics read like a bull’s wishlist:

  • 4% price pop to $109,163 (with a juicy $109,763 daily high)
  • 22% surge in trading volume
  • RSI at 60—room to run before overbought
  • Futures open interest ballooning 8% to $74.94B
CME and Binance traders are particularly frothy, with OI up 3% and 7% respectively. "This isn’t retail FOMO—it’s smart money positioning," observes a derivatives trader at BTCC.

Bitcoin daily chart analysis

Source: CoinGlass

July’s Historical Edge: Lucky Charm or Overhyped?

Matrixport’s data dive reveals BTC’s July swagger:

July PerformanceStats
Positive years7/10
Average gain+9.1%
Down yearsSingle-digit losses only
But Titan of Crypto warns against blind seasonality bets: "The bull flag breakout needs to hold $110K as support—otherwise we’re just watching another fakeout."

FAQ: Your Bitcoin Bull Run Cheat Sheet

What’s a bull flag pattern?

A continuation pattern where a sharp rise (flagpole) is followed by a downward-sloping consolidation (flag), typically breaking upward to resume the trend.

Why $137K specifically?

Analysts calculate it using the flagpole’s height projected from the breakout point—old-school technical analysis 101.

Are ETFs still buying Bitcoin?

Yep—BlackRock’s IBIT alone gobbled 12,000 BTC last week. The hunger hasn’t slowed since January’s approvals.

When might the Fed cut rates?

CME FedWatch shows 68% odds of a September cut. Earlier WOULD surprise markets; later could pressure risk assets.

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