đ¨ Breaking: Analyst Predicts Historic Crypto CollapseâLooming Disaster Dwarfs FTX Meltdown
Wall Street's crypto skeptics just got fresh ammunition. A chilling new analysis warns that current market strategies are setting up for a systemic failure that could make FTX look like a minor blip.
The ticking time bomb: Leveraged positions and overexposed institutions have created a house of cards. When it fallsâand analysts say it's 'when,' not 'if'âthe contagion could wipe out years of progress.
Why this time's different: Unlike previous crashes tied to single bad actors, this potential collapse stems from structural flaws in crypto's institutional adoption playbook. The very 'safety' measures meant to attract big money might be its undoing.
The silver lining (for degenerates): Nothing fuels crypto's rebirth like a spectacular crash. Just ask anyone who bought Bitcoin after Mt. Goxâprovided they didn't sell at the first 20% bounce.
Meanwhile, traditional finance vultures are already circling. 'We told you so' memos drafted by bank compliance officers now await only a date stamp.
âStrategyâs Bitcoin Tactics Resemble Ponzi Schemeâ
In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), OxChain expressed concerns about Strategyâs aggressive bitcoin accumulation formula, suggesting that the companyâs operations resemble a Ponzi scheme.Â
OxChain pointed out that since 2020, MicroStrategy has transformed from a traditional software company into a significant player in the Bitcoin market, currently holding around 582,000 BTC, valued at nearly $61 billion.Â
However, OxChain claims that this impressive figure is underpinned by leverage, debt, and shareholder dilution, rather than genuine conviction in the cryptocurrency.
The analyst outlined Strategyâs approach as a âcyclical financial loopâ: the firm raises capital through shares or bonds, purchases Bitcoin, announces these purchases to drive up stock prices, and then raises more funds.Â
The analyst asserts that this cycle has worked as long as Bitcoinâs price continues to rise. However, with plans for a new $1 billion share sale, OxChain believes that Strategy is increasing its risk exposure.Â
Analyst Predicts Major Liquidation Risk
OxChain warns that Strategyâs average cost per Bitcoin is approximately $70,000, creating a precarious situation. The analyst adds that if Bitcoinâs price falls significantly below this level, the companyâs treasury, currently valued at around $25 billion, could quickly start to suffer losses.Â
According to the analyst, despite Saylorâs public commitment to never sell Bitcoin, the realities of accounting and risk management may force the company to act if market conditions deteriorate.
In the first quarter of 2025, Strategy disclosed $5.9 billion in unrealized Bitcoin losses, revealing the volatility of its assets. Under the new accounting standard ASC 350-60, the company is required to report fair value, eliminating the ability to hide behind book value.Â
This transparency has already led to legal repercussions, with shareholders filing a class action lawsuit alleging that Strategy concealed the risks associated with Bitcoinâs volatility while aggressively raising capital.
OxChain further claimed during his social media thread that Strategyâs role as a Bitcoin access point is diminishing, especially as institutional capital flows into âmore transparent and regulated options,â such as BlackRockâs iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), which has amassed around $70 billion in assets under management.Â
The analyst stressed that unlike Strategy, which reportedly faces dilution risks and operates with limited safeguards, IBIT offers a âmore stable investmentâ for those seeking exposure to Bitcoin.
If Strategy were to falter, the implications WOULD be far-reaching, OxChain added. The firm holds approximately 2.77% of Bitcoinâs total supply, and a significant liquidation could send shockwaves through the market.
The analyst warns that a decline in Bitcoinâs price by just 22% from its average buy price could trigger corporate liquidations, potentially leading to one of the largest liquidation events in history.
Ultimately, OxChain cautions that Strategy is neither a hero nor a villain in the crypto ecosystem; instead, he said that it represents a ârisk vector heavily reliant on leverage and market sentiment.âÂ
Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.comÂ