Ethereum Faces Potential Sharp Decline to $1,400 – Key Factors Behind the Risk

Ethereum (ETH) is currently under significant selling pressure, with technical indicators suggesting a possible drop to the $1,400 support level. Market analysts point to weakening on-chain metrics, declining DeFi activity, and macroeconomic headwinds as contributing factors. The $1,500 psychological level has failed to hold, increasing bearish momentum. If the downtrend continues, traders may witness a test of the $1,400 zone, which could trigger further liquidations. Monitoring key resistance levels and BTC correlation will be critical for short-term price action.

Strong Rejection From Key Fibonacci Zone Hints At Persistent Resistance

Technical analysis shows that the Ethereum price chart is currently characterized by a noticeable Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the 4-hour timeframe. This interesting gap was left behind after a steep 10% drop last Sunday, marking a strong area of seller dominance.

This gap represents a zone of clear imbalance where selling activity outweighs buying pressure and has influenced Ethereum’s price action throughout the past seven days. Earlier last week, Ethereum retraced into this gap, reaching the midpoint, but was met with swift rejection. This swift rejection showed the intense selling pressure present within this Fair Value Gap. 

Interestingly, the Ethereum price has returned to this Fair Value Gap again, and another rejection here could send it back to a bottom below $1,400. Furthermore, Ethereum is trading within an area identified as the “golden pocket” of the Fibonacci extension indicator, which is drawn from the $1,383 bottom on April 9. Unless price action breaks decisively above this level and heads toward the next Fib level of 0.786 at $1,724, there is still a risk of a significant rejection that could lead to further downside below $1,400.

Stochastic RSI Weakness Suggests Possible Downturn Ahead For Ethereum

In addition to the Fair Value Gap and Ethereum’s struggle within the golden pocket of the Fibonacci retracement zone, the Stochastic RSI is now introducing another layer of bearish pressure to the current outlook. This momentum oscillator, which measures the relative strength of recent price movements, is approaching the overbought region on the daily timeframe. 

Ethereum’s approach of overbought zone with the Stochastic RSI is due to inflows that have pushed the crypto’s price from the $1,383 bottom on April 9. Now that the Stochastic RSI is moving into the overbought zone, it adds to the bearish outlook that it could reject at the Fair Value Gap and start a new downside correction very soon. 

So far, the Ethereum price was rejected at $1,650 in the past 24 hours, which further supports the bearish continuation thesis. If the selling pressure builds again, as suggested by both the weakening RSI and persistent resistance at the Fair Value Gap, the analyst warns of a breakdown that could drag the price to as low as $1,400, or even lower.

At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $1,627.