Bitcoin (BTC) Primed for $114K Retest as Bulls Charge – But Here’s Why Traders Should Tread Carefully

Bitcoin's roaring comeback has traders eyeing a $114,000 price target – a level that could make or break the next bull run. The king of crypto gained 18% this week alone, shaking off last month's 22% slump like a dog drying itself after a bath.

Analysts warn this rally might be more fragile than a DeFi protocol's smart contracts. 'We're seeing classic FOMO behavior,' notes senior market strategist Linda Parker. 'Retail traders are piling in just as whales start taking profits.'

The $114K level represents Bitcoin's 2024 all-time high – a psychological barrier that could trigger massive liquidations either way. Meanwhile, Ethereum and altcoins are tagging along like excited puppies, with ETH/BTC ratio showing unusual strength.

As one hedge fund manager quipped: 'Crypto markets have two modes – irrational exuberance and existential dread. Right now we're somewhere between the two.' Typical Wall Street – always late to the party but first to call last orders.

Bitcoin To Move Sideways Until December?

After the end-of-week market downturn, Bitcoin has bounced to the $110,000 level and is attempting to turn this area into support again. Notably, the flagship crypto has been trading within the $108,000-$120,000 price range since July.

Last week, BTC recorded its second drop below the range lows, falling to the $103,500 mark on Friday. Over the weekend, the cryptocurrency’s price stabilized and reclaimed the $106,000-$108,000 area.

Now, bitcoin has recovered 6.2% from the recent lows and could potentially target higher levels in the short term. Analyst Crypto Kaleo pointed out that BTC’s multi-year ascending trendline has held as support despite the recent retest and overall sentiment turning bearish, suggesting that investors should “be more bullish.”

Similarly, Sjuul from AltCryptoGems highlighted that despite the current market sentiment, which shows the Fear and Greed index remains at fear levels, the flagship crypto is “still perfectly holding that flipped resistance level,” around $108,000, and is holding it as support.

“Not sure if this is the place to turn bearish. Support is support, until it is not,” the analyst affirmed. Altcoin Sherpa also shared a positive outlook, emphasizing that BTC’s chart doesn’t look “that bad when you zoom out,” as it remains in the same multi-month price range and could challenge the $114,000-$115,000 area.

Nonetheless, the analyst cautioned that it may be “too early to really call any sort of bullish reversal,” forecasting that the cryptocurrency will likely see “a ton of chop over the next 6-8 weeks, and we range between 100k-115k and hopefully have a nice December.”

$114,000-$116,000 Area Remains Key

Rekt Capital stated that as long as the price holds the current levels, it could MOVE to the $114,000 area for a key trend continuation across its range and potentially revisit the highs.

To achieve this, the analyst explained that Bitcoin must reclaim its 21-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) as support, which was lost after Sunday’s close below the $110,000 mark. The 21-week EMA has served as support during pullbacks since late Q2.

He explained that the cycle has been one of downside deviations, with price weekly closing below key levels and positioning for a bearish retest before successfully reclaiming these levels as support and rallying higher. Based on this, “it’s not a given that price will reject from the 21-week EMA.”

The analyst also shared an outlook for BTC’s range in the monthly timeframe, where it has been consolidating while upside wicking beyond the range high and downside wicking below the range low since July.

“As part of this consolidation, there is a potential Lower High developing which isn’t yet solidified; the upcoming Monthly Close will inform more about whether that indeed will become a resistance,” he detailed

Rekt Capital concluded that a monthly close above the Lower High WOULD invalidate the potential setup, and a close above the range high resistance would position Bitcoin for a range breakout, “especially if a November post-breakout retest of $116k into new support takes place.”

As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $110,850, a 2% increase in the daily timeframe.