XRP Price Prediction 2026: How Low Can Ripple (XRP) Go This Year?

• Is XRP’s Descending Triangle Signaling a Breakdown?
• Why Is the $1.81 Support So Critical?
• 4-Hour Chart: Bearish Pressure Intensifies
• What Do Key Indicators Reveal?
• Historical Context: XRP’s Descending Triangle
• Trader Takeaways: Risk Management Is Key
• FAQ: XRP Price Analysis 2026

Ripple’s XRP is under significant bearish pressure, trading within a descending triangle pattern. Key support at $1.81 is critical—if broken, a sharp decline could follow. Technical indicators like the RSI and MACD show no bullish reversal signals yet, but short-term rebounds remain possible. Here’s an in-depth look at XRP’s price action, key levels, and what traders should watch in 2026.

Is XRP’s Descending Triangle Signaling a Breakdown?

XRP’s daily chart reveals a persistent downtrend, with the price confined within a descending triangle—a classic bearish pattern. The $1.81 support level is now the last line of defense, coinciding with the 800-day EMA and the Value Area Low (VAL) of the volume profile. A break below this level could trigger accelerated selling due to thinning liquidity, potentially leading to a "wick fill" toward lower targets. While a minor bounce is underway, it lacks conviction, and the 13-day and 50-day EMAs continue to slope downward, reinforcing bearish momentum. In my experience, such setups often precede sharp drops unless buyers step in aggressively.

Why Is the $1.81 Support So Critical?

The $1.81 zone isn’t just psychological—it’s a high-volume node where buyers have historically intervened. Below it, the volume profile weakens dramatically, meaning sell-offs could snowball. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) hovers neutrally, showing no bullish divergence, while the MACD histogram confirms weakening upside momentum. If XRP stabilizes here, a relief rally toward the 200-day EMA (~$1.93) is possible, but this WOULD likely be a counter-trend bounce rather than a reversal. Data from TradingView shows sellers dominating above $1.89, so any rebound faces immediate overhead supply.

4-Hour Chart: Bearish Pressure Intensifies

Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, XRP recently carved a "V-shaped" recovery but stalled at $1.89—a resistance level now acting as a supply zone. The lack of follow-through buying suggests this bounce is fragile. If sellers regain control, a retest of $1.81 seems inevitable. Conversely, a close above $1.89 might open a path to $1.93, where the 50-EMA and 13-day EMA await as additional hurdles. The RSI here is also neutral, offering no clear directional bias. As one BTCC analyst noted, "XRP’s price action resembles a coiled spring—but the breakout direction remains uncertain."

What Do Key Indicators Reveal?

Stuck mid-range (neither overbought nor oversold), signaling equilibrium between bulls and bears. No divergence hints at continued indecision.
Below zero with a fading histogram, suggesting bearish momentum isn’t exhausted.
Thin below $1.81—a breakdown could see rapid declines due to low liquidity.
The 13/50/200-day EMAs are aligned bearishly, acting as dynamic resistance.

Historical Context: XRP’s Descending Triangle

Descending triangles typically resolve downward, but exceptions occur. In 2023, XRP defied a similar pattern after the SEC lawsuit resolution sparked a 70% rally. However, the current setup lacks such a catalyst. CoinMarketCap data shows XRP’s trading volume has declined 30% month-over-month, reflecting waning interest. Until a fundamental driver emerges (e.g., Ripple partnership news), technicals favor bears.

Trader Takeaways: Risk Management Is Key

With no bullish confirmation, traders should:
1.A daily close below could trigger short-term targets at $1.65 (2025 low).
2.A breakout here might fuel a squeeze to $1.93, but expect sellers there.
3.Wait for bullish divergences or histogram upticks to confirm reversals.