Thyssenkrupp Stock 2025: Breakthrough in the Steel Drama – What’s Next for Investors?
- Why Is Thyssenkrupp’s Steel Deal Making Headlines in September 2025?
- Three Game-Changing Moves You Might Have Missed
- Is Thyssenkrupp Fighting a Losing Battle Against China?
- TKMS IPO: The €5 Billion Question
- Technical Check: Is the Rally Sustainable?
- FAQ: Your Burning Questions Answered
Thyssenkrupp’s steel division has finally secured union approval for its restructuring plan, marking a pivotal moment for the embattled conglomerate. The stock surged past the psychological €10 barrier, capping a 151% year-to-date rally. But with energy costs soaring and Chinese competition intensifying, can this historic deal truly revive the German industrial icon? We break down the three pillars of Thyssenkrupp’s transformation, analyze the brutal market headwinds, and reveal why the upcoming TKMS marine IPO could be the next catalyst. Buckle up – this steel saga just got interesting.
Why Is Thyssenkrupp’s Steel Deal Making Headlines in September 2025?
After months of tense negotiations, Thyssenkrupp Steel’s restructuring plan got the green light from worker representatives on September 8, 2025 – a make-or-break moment for the 200-year-old industrial group. I’ve been tracking this story since the first rumors surfaced in Q1, and frankly, nobody expected union boss Claudia Schmitz to fold her cards this quickly. The agreement clears the path for painful but necessary job cuts and plant modernizations, triggering an immediate 2% stock bounce. TradingView data shows the shares have now outperformed 93% of DAX components this year, though the 46% volatility score warns this rollercoaster isn’t for the faint-hearted.
Three Game-Changing Moves You Might Have Missed
While everyone’s obsessing over steel, Thyssenkrupp’s playing 4D chess across multiple fronts:
Subsidiary Nucera just acquired Danish firm Green Hydrogen Systems’ electrolyzer patents – a power MOVE in the €130B green hydrogen market. Their stack technology could slash production costs by 40% by 2027.
The soon-to-be-spun-off TKMS division signed defense deals with India’s Mazagon Dock in August. With global naval spending hitting $280B this year, this IPO could be Thyssenkrupp’s golden ticket.
The approved restructuring includes Europe’s first hydrogen-powered blast furnace. Dirty secret? It’ll still need €3B in government subsidies to stay competitive against Chinese imports.
Is Thyssenkrupp Fighting a Losing Battle Against China?
Let’s be real – the German steel industry’s on life support. Energy costs have quadrupled since 2021, Chinese dumping margins hit 32% last quarter (per EU Commission data), and BMW just slashed steel orders by 18%. The BTCC research team notes Thyssenkrupp’s EBITDA margins could shrink to 4.5% in Q4 unless Chancellor Scholz delivers on promised power price caps at next week’s emergency industry summit.
TKMS IPO: The €5 Billion Question
All eyes now turn to the marine division’s planned Q4 2025 IPO. Pre-market valuations range wildly from €3B-€7B – for context, that’s 30-70% of Thyssenkrupp’s current market cap. If CEO Miguel López plays his cards right, this could unlock major shareholder value. But remember the disastrous Siemens Energy spinoff? Markets have long memories.
Technical Check: Is the Rally Sustainable?
The chart looks spicy – the €10 breakout confirms a bullish inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. But RSI at 68 suggests overheating, and Deutsche Bank’s options desk reports heavy December put buying at €8. My take? This could be a "sell the news" scenario unless December 9 earnings show concrete restructuring progress.
FAQ: Your Burning Questions Answered
Should I buy Thyssenkrupp stock now?
The risk/reward looks balanced at current levels. Conservative investors might wait for post-IPO clarity, while speculators could play the hydrogen HYPE cycle.
How exposed is Thyssenkrupp to China’s steel dumping?
About 22% of revenue comes from steel products competing directly with Chinese imports, per their Q2 filings.
When exactly is the TKMS IPO?
While not officially confirmed, multiple sources point to November 15-30, 2025 window.
