XRP 2025: Bullish Signal Emerges Despite Price Dip – Is Ripple Headed to $11?

• Why Is XRP Dropping Despite Bullish Signals?
• Can XRP Really Hit $11? The Bullish Case
• Key Resistance and Support Levels to Watch
• On-Chain Data: Are Whales Accumulating?
• FAQ: Your XRP Questions Answered

Ripple (XRP) has faced a 4% drop in the last 24 hours, slipping below key chart levels, yet analysts remain optimistic. Ali Martinez highlights a bullish flag pattern on the weekly chart, suggesting a potential surge to $11 if XRP breaks past the critical $3.65 resistance. Meanwhile, short-term factors like profit-taking and an unexpected token unlock have added downward pressure. Here’s a DEEP dive into XRP’s current trajectory and what could drive its next major move.

Why Is XRP Dropping Despite Bullish Signals?

XRP’s recent dip isn’t entirely surprising. After an 11% weekly gain, the cryptocurrency faced profit-taking and a sudden release of 1 billion XRP (worth $3.28 billion) by Ripple Labs on August 9. While CTO David Schwartz called it a "standard process," the market reacted nervously. Additionally, XRP closed a "fair value gap" at $3.35–$3.40, a technical zone that often triggers reversals. Despite these headwinds, Martinez’s bullish flag pattern—a historically reliable indicator—suggests a longer-term upside.

Source: TradingView (Data as of August 10, 2025)

Can XRP Really Hit $11? The Bullish Case

Martinez’s $11 target hinges on a weekly close above $3.65, a level where XRP has twice been rejected this year. A breakout could mirror 2018 and 2021 bull runs, especially with the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric at multi-year highs. However, CoinCodex notes strong support at $3.06 and $2.75–$2.80. If these hold, the path to double digits becomes plausible. "Institutional sales are still a wildcard," admits the BTCC team, referencing Ripple’s SEC settlement, "but retail demand looks robust."

Key Resistance and Support Levels to Watch

Critical zones for XRP:

• Resistance: $3.65 (Tweezer Top reversal point), $4.20 (2025 high)
• Support: $3.06 (short-term floor), $2.80 (accumulation zone)

A drop below $2.75 could invalidate the bullish thesis, but Martinez argues the flag pattern’s measured MOVE points to $11. "It’s all about patience," he tweeted, sharing a chart with 85K likes.

Source: CoinMarketCap (August 11, 2025)

On-Chain Data: Are Whales Accumulating?

Alphractal’s data shows whales have increased holdings by 7% since July, despite the token unlock. The NUPL metric suggests investors are sitting on unrealized gains—historically a precursor to rallies. "This feels like 2021’s setup," notes a BTCC analyst, "where dips got bought aggressively."

FAQ: Your XRP Questions Answered

What’s driving XRP’s volatility?

Profit-taking, token unlocks, and technical gaps are key factors. The SEC case’s resolution has reduced legal overhangs.

Is $3.65 the make-or-break level?

Yes. A sustained breakout could trigger algorithmic buying, while rejection may prolong consolidation.

How reliable is the bullish flag pattern?

Martinez’s track record gives it credibility, but always cross-check with volume and macroeconomic trends.