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Oracle Plunges Over 13% at Wall Street Open After Disappointing Earnings Report

Oracle Plunges Over 13% at Wall Street Open After Disappointing Earnings Report

Published:
2025-12-12 02:45:03
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Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL) saw its shares tumble more than 13% at the opening bell on Wall Street today (December 12, 2025) following a lackluster earnings report that fell short of analyst expectations. The tech giant’s revenue and cloud growth metrics disappointed investors, triggering a sell-off. Here’s a DEEP dive into what went wrong and why the market reacted so sharply.

Oracle stock chart showing sharp decline

Why Did Oracle’s Stock Drop So Sharply?

Oracle’s Q2 2025 earnings report revealed revenue of $12.45 billion, missing Wall Street’s $12.6 billion estimate. More concerning was the cloud revenue growth of just 12% year-over-year, significantly slower than competitors like Microsoft Azure (31% growth) and AWS (28%). “The cloud slowdown suggests Oracle is losing ground in the infrastructure battle,” noted BTCC senior analyst David Chen. The company also issued softer-than-expected guidance for Q3.

How Does This Compare to Oracle’s Historical Performance?

This marks Oracle’s worst single-day drop since March 2020. The stock had been on a 15-month rally prior to this report, gaining 42% from September 2024 through November 2025. Today’s sell-off erased about $40 billion in market capitalization instantly. Historical data from TradingView shows Oracle typically moves ±3% on earnings days – making today’s 13% plunge exceptionally rare.

What Are Analysts Saying About Oracle’s Future?

The analyst community is divided. Morgan Stanley downgraded ORCL to “Equal Weight” with a $105 price target (down from $128), while Goldman Sachs maintains its “Buy” rating but trimmed its target to $120. “Oracle’s database business remains strong, but the cloud transition isn’t happening fast enough,” observed Maria Gonzalez of Bloomberg Intelligence. The company faces stiff competition in cloud infrastructure while its legacy licensing business continues declining at 4% annually.

How Are Options Traders Reacting?

Options activity suggests traders expect more volatility. Put volume surged to 3x the 20-day average, with heavy activity at the $95 and $90 strike prices for December 20 expiry. The implied volatility spread between calls and puts widened to 12 percentage points, the largest gap since 2021 according to CBOE data.

What Does This Mean for Tech Stocks Overall?

Oracle’s stumble weighed on the broader tech sector, with the Nasdaq Composite falling 1.2% in early trading. Cloud competitors like Salesforce (CRM) and Workday (WDAY) dipped 2-3% on contagion fears. However, mega-cap tech (Microsoft, Amazon) remained relatively stable. “Investors are differentiating between cloud leaders and laggards,” noted CNBC’s Jim Cramer during Squawk Box.

Oracle’s Cloud Strategy: Where Did Things Go Wrong?

Three key issues emerged:

  1. Enterprise Focus: Oracle doubled down on large enterprises while the market shifted toward SMB cloud solutions
  2. Late AI Play: The company’s generative AI offerings launched 12-18 months after competitors
  3. Sales Execution: Several major deals slipped into Q3 according to CFO Safra Catz’s remarks

What’s Next for Oracle Investors?

The stock now trades at 16x forward earnings versus the sector average of 22x. Value investors might see this as an entry point, while growth investors may remain wary. “At this valuation, Oracle becomes interesting as either a turnaround play or acquisition target,” suggested The Motley Fool’s analyst team. The company has $28 billion in cash reserves for potential M&A to accelerate cloud growth.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much did Oracle stock drop today?

Oracle shares fell 13.4% at the open on December 12, 2025 following its earnings report.

What caused Oracle’s stock to decline?

The drop was triggered by disappointing cloud revenue growth and weaker-than-expected guidance for the next quarter.

Is this Oracle’s biggest single-day drop?

This marks Oracle’s largest single-day percentage decline since March 2020 during the COVID market crash.

Are analysts recommending buying the dip?

Opinions are mixed – some see value at current levels while others recommend waiting for clearer signs of cloud acceleration.

|Square

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