Ripple Price Forecast: XRP Bearish Bias Intensifies as Whales Accelerate De-Risking

Whales are dumping—and XRP's bearish momentum just hit overdrive.

The Big Money Exodus

Major holders aren't waiting around for a reversal. They're cutting exposure fast, shifting assets into less volatile plays. When whales move, retail often follows—right off the cliff.

Market Mechanics Under Pressure

Liquidity drains with each large sell order. That pushes prices lower, triggering more sell-offs. Classic crypto behavior—everyone's a long-term believer until the charts turn red.

Regulatory Shadows Linger

Legal uncertainties never help. Unlike some regulators who still think blockchain is a bicycle lock, the market's reacting to real pressure—not hypotheticals.

Where's the bottom? Nobody knows. But when whales de-risk, it pays to watch closely—or become another 'buy the dip' casualty in an market that loves punishing optimism.

XRP faces mounting selling pressure with low on-chain activity 

Interest in XRP has consistently dropped since its local top of $3.66 reached on July 18. The derivatives market reflects the low demand with the futures Open Interest (OI) falling to $7.56 billion after peaking at $10.94 billion on July 22. 

Large volume holders have also been de-risking, possibly taking profits as XRP sustains a weak technical structure. 

Santiment data shows that wallets with between 10 million and 100 million XRP are aggressively selling, reducing their holdings to 11.88% of the total supply from 13.12% recorded on July 27. 

If aggressive selling persists, it will become increasingly difficult for XRP to sustain its recovery in the short term. 

XRP Supply Distribution | Source: Santiment 

On-chain activity on the XRP Ledger (XRPL) has also slowed significantly over the past few weeks. CryptoQuant data indicates a 54% decline in active addresses, from approximately 50,000 on July 18 to around 23,000 on Wednesday.

The sharp drop indicates a decline in user engagement and transaction activity on the protocol. In other words, XRP is facing declining adoption and user interest, resulting in low demand. 

If the trend is sustained, reduced confidence in the token's ability to hold its value or recover could take center stage. Still, temporary dips tend to be normal, paving the way for new entry opportunities and a stronger rebound in the price.

XRP Active Addresses | Source: CryptoQuant 

Technical outlook: XRP poised for further decline 

XRP price is edging closer to the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2.77 as overhead pressure intensifies. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has maintained a sell signal since July 25, underscoring the bearish bias. 

XRP/USDT daily chart

The Relative Strength Index's (RSI) gradual decline to 42 mirrors the bearish market sentiment, stemming from whales' selling and low on-chain activity. If the RSI prolongs the downtrend into oversold territory, bearish momentum will intensify, increasing the likelihood of XRP falling to test the 200-day EMA support at $2.51.

Ripple FAQs

What is Ripple?

Ripple is a payments company that specializes in cross-border remittance. The company does this by leveraging blockchain technology. RippleNet is a network used for payments transfer created by Ripple Labs Inc. and is open to financial institutions worldwide. The company also leverages the XRP token.

What is XRP?

XRP is the native token of the decentralized blockchain XRPLedger. The token is used by Ripple Labs to facilitate transactions on the XRPLedger, helping financial institutions transfer value in a borderless manner. XRP therefore facilitates trustless and instant payments on the XRPLedger chain, helping financial firms save on the cost of transacting worldwide.

What is XRPL?

XRPLedger is based on a distributed ledger technology and the blockchain using XRP to power transactions. The ledger is different from other blockchains as it has a built-in inflammatory protocol that helps fight spam and distributed denial-of-service (DDOS) attacks. The XRPL is maintained by a peer-to-peer network known as the global XRP Ledger community.

What blockchain technology does XRP use?

XRP uses the interledger standard. This is a blockchain protocol that aids payments across different networks. For instance, XRP’s blockchain can connect the ledgers of two or more banks. This effectively removes intermediaries and the need for centralization in the system. XRP acts as the native token of the XRPLedger blockchain engineered by Jed McCaleb, Arthur Britto and David Schwartz.