Crypto Market Holds Breath as Litecoin, Solana, XRP, Dogecoin, and Cardano Spot ETF Deadlines Loom
Digital asset markets enter holding pattern ahead of regulatory milestones that could reshape institutional adoption.
The Waiting Game
Traders position cautiously as multiple cryptocurrency spot ETF applications approach critical decision dates. Regulatory filings show staggered deadlines across major altcoins—creating sequential catalysts that could either validate or challenge the 'altcoin season' narrative.
Institutional Infrastructure Expands
Market makers increase liquidity provisions across mentioned assets. Trading desks report heightened institutional inquiry about custody solutions and exposure mechanisms beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum—because nothing says 'mature asset class' like needing specialized storage for meme coin allocations.
Volatility Compression Signals
Options markets show unusual calm given the potential magnitude of pending decisions. Implied volatility remains contained—suggesting either sophisticated hedging or collective amnesia about how regulatory news typically moves crypto prices.
The real test comes when SEC deadlines transform from theoretical calendar dates into actual approvals or rejections—because in crypto, even 'steady' markets are just volatility taking a coffee break.
Crypto market could recover amid multiple ETF deadlines
The final SEC deadline for the Litecoin ETFs is on Thursday (October 2), filed by various investment firms like Canary Capital, Grayscale Investments, and CoinShares International. This will mark the beginning of multiple ETF deadlines, including Solana, XRP, Dogecoin, and Cardano, later in the month.
These ETFs are filed under the 1933 Securities Act, which can take up to 240 days for approval, unlike the recently launched ETFs of Solana, XRP, and Dogecoin by Rex Shares and Osprey Funds, which are filed under the 1940 Investment Act. This difference helped them secure quick approvals within 75 days.
According to Bloomberg ETF specialist James Seyffart, these ETFs have a 90% or higher approval chance. If approved, the news could boost investors' sentiment, as seen previously.
Adding to the recovery chances, CoinGlass data shows that Bitcoin has remained positive in October for the last six consecutive years. Considering the high likelihood of ETF approval amid the pro-crypto stance of the US President Donald Trump administration, the broader cryptocurrency market could spark a risk-on sentiment with the involvement of corporate investors.
Bitcoin Monthly returns. Source: CoinGlass
Litecoin eyes a bullish rebound ahead of ETF deadline
Litecoin holds above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $103 at press time on Monday, following the 2.22% bounce back on Friday and the 2.32% on Sunday. The recovery faces headwinds at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $106, which is drawn from the $147 high of December 6 to the $63 low of April 7.
The Polymarket data indicates a 90% chance of Litecoin ETF approval, with a market volume of $82,852, which means a positive market sentiment. If the Litecoin ETF is approved on Thursday, a potential demand boost could cause the LTC rally to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $122.
Litecoin ETF approval market. Source: Polymarket
The technical indicators on the daily chart indicate a decline in selling pressure as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) rebounds above the oversold zone to 41. If RSI resurfaces above the midpoint at 50, it could be an early signal of a renewed rally.
Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) approaches its signal line as red histogram bars decline, indicating a loss in bearish momentum. A potential crossover resulting in a green histogram bar above the zero line WOULD indicate a trend reversal.
LTC/USDT daily price chart.
However, if LTC fails to hold above the 200-day EMA at $103, it could result in a drop to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $96.
