Bitcoin Bull Run at a Crossroads: 30% Chance the Peak Is Already Behind Us

Bitcoin's relentless rally faces a reality check—analysts now see a 1-in-3 chance the party's over.

The Bull Case Crumbles?

After months of euphoria, cracks emerge in the crypto king's armor. Traders are quietly hedging bets as volatility creeps back into the market.

Institutional Whispers Grow Louder

Wall Street's crypto desks—always late to the party—are suddenly debating exit strategies. Meanwhile, retail investors keep stacking sats like it's 2021 all over again.

The Cynic's Corner

Funny how '30% chance' always seems to mean '100% certainty' when hedge funds need an excuse to cash out. Stay nimble, folks—the only thing predictable about crypto is its unpredictability.

Cycle Lengthening Could Push Peak to Late 2025

Colin’s model tracks Bitcoin’s historical cycles since 2012, showing each one lasts about four months longer than the previous. 

The first cycle lasted 24 months, the second 28, the third 33, and the current could stretch to 37 months from its November 2022 low. Hence, this pattern points to a possible peak on December 22, 2025, with bitcoin reaching around $200,000.

Furthermore, his chart shows that spikes are almost always preceded by halving events, pointing out occurrences unique to each cycle. The present cycle, it seems, is heading down a similar path with a slow price increase anticipated through to 2025, before entering into a correction.

Analyst Projects Bitcoin’s Range for the Next Week

In the meantime, cryptocurrency expert Daan Crypto Trades on his X claims that Bitcoin “loves to hover around” in the narrow area of $117,000 to $119,000.

$BTC Still just ranging.

Liquidity was taken below and then above the range. Currently finding some support on the 4H 200MA and high volume node.

The $117K-$119K area seems to be a level which Bitcoin loves to hover around for the time being.

It could easily take another few… pic.twitter.com/b3uluQ7Aoa

After a $112,000 support test, the cryptocurrency recovered 5%, gaining strength at a high-volume node and the 4-hour 200MA. Moreover, the 200-period EMA supports this bounce, hinting at renewed bullish momentum. 

Bitcoin may continue to be down in this range for weeks to come before a more dramatic move occurs. However, this calm midpoint is the time at which altcoin traders can capitalize while Bitcoin consolidates under the present market cycle.

Also Read: Peter Schiff Backs $1.1B Tokenized Gold Plan, Slams Bitcoin