Bitcoin on the Brink: 4 Explosive Catalysts Set to Shake Crypto Markets This Week
Crypto traders, brace yourselves—volatility is coming in hot. Here’s what could send Bitcoin on a wild ride over the next seven days.
1. Macro Tremors: Fed Whispers & Liquidity Leaks
Powell’s shadow looms large. Any hint of rate-cut delays could slam risk assets—or trigger a contrarian rally if Wall Street smells desperation.
2. ETF Flows: The Institutional Tug-of-War
Spot Bitcoin ETFs now dictate market rhythms. Watch for whale-sized inflows (or outflows) that could amplify moves—because nothing says ‘decentralized’ like BlackRock’s balance sheet.
3. Miner Maneuvers: Capitulation or Accumulation?
Hash rate fluctuations don’t lie. If miners start dumping reserves to cover costs, expect downside pressure. But stealth buying? That’s your bull signal.
4. Geopolitical Wildcards: From Cyberattacks to CBDC Saber-Rattling
A major exchange hack or hostile regulatory move could spark panic. Alternatively, some tinpot dictator ‘adopting Bitcoin’ might pump the market—temporarily.
Bottom line: This isn’t your 2017 meme market anymore. Institutional players turned crypto into a high-stakes casino—just with worse drinks and more SEC subpoenas.
Economic Events August 11 to 15
July’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, not including food and energy, is due on Tuesday, and this is one of two primary gauges of inflation. Policymakers, businesses, and consumers closely monitor the CPI report, as it reflects price trends across the economy and shapes sentiment. It is expected to come in firmer at 2.8% from 2.7%.
July’s Producer Price Index (PPI) report is due on Thursday, and this is another leading indicator of inflation as it reflects input costs for producers and manufacturers and impacts retail prices.
Friday will see July’s retail sales data released, indicating how much consumers are spending on durable and non-durable goods and highlighting overall economic health.
This is followed by the consumer sentiment and consumer inflation expectations preliminary readings, which summarize the findings of a monthly survey measuring consumer confidence and long-term inflation expectations in the US.
Key Events This Week:
1. OPEC Monthly Report – Tuesday
2. July CPI Inflation data – Tuesday
3. July PPI Inflation data – Thursday
4. July Retail Sales data – Friday
5. MI Consumer Sentiment data – Friday
6. Total of 5 Fed speaker events
It’s a big week for inflation data.
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) August 10, 2025
The current probability of a September rate cut stands at 88%, according to the CME futures Fed Watch tool.
Earnings season is now nearing completion, so eyes are shifting to Nvidia, which is scheduled to report on August 27.
Crypto Market Outlook
Weekend momentum, which spilled over into Monday morning in Asia, has pushed total market capitalization up 2% on the day to an all-time high of $4.13 trillion.
Bitcoin jumped more than 3% early on Monday to a four-week high of $121,850, as it came to within $1,000 of its all-time high. A new peak now seems inevitable.
Ethereum was also outperforming, surging to an almost four-year high of $4,320 in early trading this week. ETH is now just 11.5% away from its 2021 all-time high.
Only the top two were really making moves, and the rest of the altcoins were flat, aside from Hyperliquid and Chainlink, both adding more than 4% on the day.
