Bitcoin Holds Steady While Spot Markets Outpace Derivatives in Capital Inflows
Spot traders are calling the shots as Bitcoin shrugs off derivative market turbulence—real money moves the needle while leverage junkies sweat their margin calls.
Cold hard cash beats paper promises: Spot inflows dominate for third straight week as institutions pile into ’boring’ direct exposure. Meanwhile, perpetual swaps traders relearn the meaning of ’funding rate pain’—some lessons never stick.
The old guard’s dirty secret? When the music stops, you want actual coins—not IOUs from some offshore exchange that’ll ’rekt’ you faster than a Goldman quant can say ’risk management.’
Spot Market Leads Derivatives
Since mid-April, the market has witnessed significant net spot buying across most trading platforms. This is evident in the Spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD), which measures the net difference between aggressive buys and sells.
Bitfinex analysts said CVD across major centralized exchanges peaked at more than $45 million per day. The surge aligned with bitcoin’s rally from $75,000 to above $104,000, with buying pressure building gradually before each breakout. This has reflected genuine demand rather than speculative derivatives activity, indicating that the rally is “built on solid ground” and supported by real capital flows.
Although BTC is consolidating now, analysts insist the asset needs this pattern of spot buyer dominance to navigate key resistance levels NEAR its all-time high.
The Middle of a Mature Bull Market
On the other hand, the derivatives market has been cautious and reactive, as seen in the Spot Premium. This metric shows the difference between the bitcoin spot price and the average of seven perpetuals and futures market prices. The Spot Premium has been positive since BTC crossed $80,000 in this rally.
Moreover, open interest in perpetual futures contracts has been contracting, reflecting a short squeeze as traders are compelled to unwind their bearish positions. While the market transitions from bearish to bullish, traders betting against bitcoin’s price surge have been caught off guard and liquidated with excess leverage flushed out of the system.
“The presence of back-to-back squeezes, on both sides of the trade, underscores a critical point: the rally appears to be maturing in a constructive fashion. The clearing out of over-leveraged participants has reset market positioning and created a healthier foundation for continuation,” analysts said.
These market dynamics are often seen during the early stages of a sustained bullish move. Analysts tagged it as the alignment of spot accumulation and derivatives market clean-up. With bitcoin’s surge now standing on firmer footing, the market is moving from speculative leverage towards structural buying, as is expected in the middle of a mature bull market.
