India and China Forge Economic Truce as Trump’s Tariffs Backfire

Asia's giants pivot toward cooperation—just as Washington's trade war blows up in its face.

Geopolitical whiplash: Two rival economies suddenly playing nice? Must be a Trump policy at work.

The realignment: Supply chains reconfigure while dollar dominance gets another dent. Gold and Bitcoin smirk.

Cynical take: Nothing unites nations faster than a common enemy—especially when that enemy's Treasury Secretary still thinks fax machines are cutting-edge tech.

Tariffs hit India’s economy hard

The increased duties dealt a significant blow to India, whose largest trading partner is the U.S. Modi had earlier shown strong public support for Trump, even being one of the first foreign leaders to visit Washington following Trump’s return to the WHITE House. As previously reported by Cryptopolitan, China had already been moving to strengthen trade with India in anticipation of Washington’s tariff escalation

Henry Wang, who leads the Center for China and Globalization in Beijing, said the current phase represents an “up cycle” in bilateral ties. As influential members of the Global South, he noted, “They have to really speak to each other.” Wang also said Washington’s tariff actions have reinforced India’s need to retain “strategic autonomy and strategic independence.”

China, which has also faced Trump’s trade measures, has responded with gestures of cooperation. Earlier this month, Beijing loosened controls on fertilizer exports to India, the world’s top buyer of urea. Though shipments remain small, the trade could grow and help stabilize both supply and prices worldwide.

Commercial cooperation may expand in other areas as well. Sources say Adani Group is in negotiations with Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer BYD Co. to produce batteries in India, a move that WOULD strengthen Adani’s clean-energy operations.

Indian tourist visas for Chinese citizens restored

On the travel side, the Indian government has recently reinstated tourist visas for Chinese visitors after years of restrictions. China is still India’s second-largest trading partner after the U.S., and provides vital components for India’s manufacturing industries.

Nonetheless, mutual confidence is unlikely to return quickly. The two nations have been strategic competitors for decades, and tensions resurfaced earlier this year when China supplied Pakistan with arms and intelligence during its standoff with India.

Ties with Washington have also cooled. Officials in New Delhi say part of Trump’s irritation stems from Modi publicly rejecting his claim to have mediated in an India-Pakistan dispute. Modi is said to have directly disputed that assertion in a June phone call, after which Indian officials noticed a shift in tone from the White House.

At the same time, Modi is building closer links with other BRICS members. In August, he invited Russian President Vladimir Putin to visit India, despite U.S. objections to New Delhi’s ongoing purchases of discounted Russian oil. Earlier this month, India and Russia signed fresh trade-boosting agreements.

Trade discussions have also progressed with Brazil. In July, Modi met President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in Brasilia to focus on expanding commerce between the two countries. The two leaders agreed in an August call to broaden India’s trade pact with Mercosur, the South American trade bloc including Brazil.

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