Trade War Truce? Trump Officials Set for High-Stakes China Talks on June 9

Mark your calendars—June 9 could spark the next big market shakeup. US and Chinese officials are finally sitting down to negotiate a trade deal that’s been dangling like a speculative altcoin.

No fluffy promises, just hard numbers and geopolitical chess. Will they cut a deal or just kick the can down the road again? Wall Street’s already placing bets—because nothing fuels volatility like politicians pretending to play nice.

Funny how these 'urgent' talks always seem to happen right when someone needs a distraction from domestic turmoil. Coincidence? Sure—just like Bitcoin’s 'unpredictable' pumps before election seasons.

US delegation heads to London amid friction

Scott, who has led the WHITE House’s trade team since Trump returned to the Oval Office, will be taking point at the June 9 London meeting. He’ll be joined by Howard and Jamieson, both involved in the earlier Geneva negotiations last month that temporarily paused tariffs between the US and China.

That pause didn’t last. Since then, things have gone sideways again. China has publicly accused the US of backing away from parts of the deal agreed to in Geneva.

Tensions escalated after the US Commerce Department warned American chipmakers to avoid working with Chinese semiconductor firms. In another blow to relations, Trump’s administration also announced it WOULD revoke visas for some Chinese students studying in the US, drawing sharp criticism from Beijing.

On top of that, Washington claimed China was stalling on a commitment made during the Geneva meeting to approve more exports of rare earth minerals, which are vital for US manufacturing and defense.

Trump wrote after the call with Xi, “There should no longer be any questions respecting the complexity of Rare Earth products,” without giving any further explanation. No clarification followed, leaving questions hanging as the US team prepares for the London meeting.

Pressure builds from Asia to Washington

The current trade standoff comes at a time when China’s economy is facing serious internal problems. With high tariffs in place, fewer Chinese goods are entering the US. Meanwhile, demand at home is weak.

Producer prices in China have stayed in deflation for more than two years, and consumer inflation is close to zero. Instead of slowing production, China has turned up the volume, pushing more goods out of its factories and into foreign markets.

This surge is already being felt across Asia. Chinese exports to the ASEAN bloc grew 11.5% year-on-year in the first four months of 2025. In April alone, exports jumped 20.8% compared to the same period last year. By contrast, China’s exports to the US dropped 2.5%, and the April year-on-year numbers showed a 21% plunge.

Those goods aren’t just arriving in larger volumes — they’re cheaper too. Goldman Sachs economists estimate that in the last two years, Chinese products imported into Japan have become roughly 15% cheaper than items from other countries. That’s adding more fuel to trade tensions, especially in Asia, where countries have already imposed anti-dumping duties to protect local manufacturers.

This situation isn’t new. In the late 1990s and early 2000s, what many call the “China shock” rocked global markets when cheap Chinese imports flooded the world. Prices fell, but millions of manufacturing jobs disappeared across the globe. Economists say a repeat may be underway now, as China once again leans on exports to make up for its slowing domestic economy.

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