Trump and Xi Forge Rare Earth Truce - Tariffs Slashed, Trade War Thaws

Geopolitical shockwave rocks markets as superpowers call trade ceasefire.

The Mineral Standoff Ends

Two economic titans just pulled back from the brink. No new restrictions on rare earth elements—those critical components powering everything from smartphones to EV batteries. The supply chain chokehold? Released.

Tariff Rollback Reality

Existing trade barriers get dismantled. Not studied, not postponed—cut. Manufacturing costs drop overnight. Global commerce breathes easier without the artificial constraints that had markets scrambling for alternatives.

Strategic Implications

This isn't just about cheaper components. It's about stabilized supply chains for tech giants and automakers who've been playing Russian roulette with sourcing. The agreement signals a return to pragmatic economics over political posturing.

Market Calculus

Traders now recalculate risk premiums built around trade war scenarios. The volatility premium? Evaporating faster than a shitcoin's liquidity during a margin call. Sometimes the biggest market moves come from politicians actually agreeing on something—who knew?

China suspends export controls and trade retaliation

China will halt the global rollout of the new export controls it announced on October 9, 2025. It will also stop retaliation taken since March 4, 2025.

That retaliation included tariffs on U.S. soybeans, wheat, corn, cotton, sorghum, pork, beef, chicken, dairy, fruits, vegetables, and aquatic products. China will also lift non‑tariff moves such as placing American firms on “unreliable entity” lists.

Officials said the lists blocked companies from government procurement and domestic contracts.

China will buy at least 12 million metric tons (MMT) of U.S. soybeans in the last two months of 2025, and at least 25 MMT each year in 2026, 2027, and 2028. China will also resume purchases of U.S. sorghum and hardwood logs.

The WHITE House said the volume commitments are tied to supply chain stabilization and market dependability.

China will end investigations into U.S. companies in the semiconductor supply chain. Those include antitrust, anti‑monopoly, and anti‑dumping probes. China will also take actions to ensure trade resumes from Nexperia facilities in China.

Those facilities produce legacy chips used in industrial, automotive, and defense systems. They had been limited due to trade friction.

China will take “significant measures” to stop the movement of fentanyl precursors into the United States. China will block certain chemicals entirely from being sent to North America and will strictly control the export of others to all countries.

The White House said this was required because fentanyl precursor supply chains rely heavily on Chinese chemical plants.

United States lowers tariffs and delays enforcement actions

The United States will reduce tariffs placed to curb fentanyl-linked imports by removing 10 percentage points from the cumulative rate.

This change begins November 10, 2025. The U.S. will keep the current 10% reciprocal tariff in place during a suspension period lasting until November 10, 2026.

The U.S. will also extend the expiration of certain Section 301 tariff exclusions from November 29, 2025 to November 10, 2026.

The U.S. will delay the implementation of the Expansion of End‑User Controls rule for one year starting November 10, 2025.

The U.S. will also suspend for one year actions tied to the Section 301 investigation into China’s maritime, logistics, and shipbuilding sectors. While paused, negotiations will continue.

The U.S. will also keep coordination active with South Korea and Japan to support U.S. shipbuilding and technology supply chains.

The agreement comes at the end of Trump’s Asia trip. In Malaysia, Trump signed reciprocal trade agreements with Malaysia and Cambodia, and announced negotiation frameworks with Thailand and Vietnam.

Trump also signed critical minerals deals with Thailand and Malaysia. In Japan, Trump announced new projects linked to Japan’s $550 billion investment commitment in the U.S. and expanded energy and counter‑narcotics cooperation.

In the Republic of Korea, he secured funding and industrial cooperation measures tied to maritime infrastructure, energy supply, and technology manufacturing.

Don’t just read crypto news. Understand it. Subscribe to our newsletter. It's free.