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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Binance Inflows Just Hit a 4-Year Low – Violent Move Above $100K is Next

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Binance Inflows Just Hit a 4-Year Low – Violent Move Above $100K is Next

Author:
Cryptonews
Published:
2026-01-29 14:07:55
20
1

Binance's exchange wallets just recorded their lowest inflow volume since 2022. That's not a typo—it's a four-year low. For the uninitiated, that's typically a sign the 'weak hands' have already sold. The big money isn't moving to sell; it's already parked.

The Liquidity Squeeze

When major exchange inflows dry up, available sell-side liquidity evaporates. The market becomes a tinderbox. All it needs is a spark—a macro catalyst, an institutional filing, a whisper of a spot ETF inflow surge. Then, the move isn't gradual. It's violent.

Anatomy of a Breakout

Technical charts show Bitcoin consolidating in a historically tight range. Volatility compression this extreme almost always precedes explosive expansion. The path of least resistance? Up. The $100,000 level isn't just psychological; it's the next major liquidity pool in the derivatives market. Algorithms will chase it.

The Street's Blind Spot

Traditional finance models still treat Bitcoin like a tech stock, fretting over Fed meetings and CPI prints. They're missing the plot. This is a unique supply/demand shock playing out on a global, decentralized ledger. The old rules don't apply—a fact that will become painfully clear to short-sellers (and overpaid hedge fund analysts) very soon.

Get ready. When liquidity this thin meets pent-up demand, the rally won't walk. It will detonate.

Binance Inflows Signal a Supply Squeeze

Recent on-chain analytics show that monthly Bitcoin inflows to Binance now average about 5,700 BTC, a level last seen during the 2020 to 2022 accumulation periods. Fewer coins moving to exchanges usually means less intent to sell, which tightens supply while demand stays strong.

This is important because Binance is the biggest spot trading platform. When inflows to exchanges stay low, there is less selling pressure and a higher chance of sharp price increases if demand picks up. Even though spot Bitcoin ETFs saw short-term outflows of about $147 million, long-term holders seem unaffected and are keeping their coins off exchanges.

Recent price moves show this cautious approach. Bitcoin briefly went back above $90,000 on January 28 before dropping again, bringing its market cap close to $1.78 trillion. This pullback did not cause panic selling, which supports the idea that investors are still accumulating.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Price Holds $88K as Triangle Tightens

Technically, Bitcoin price prediction is seems bearish as BTC is compressing. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s price is tightening. On the 4-hour chart, BTC is trading around $87,900 and holding a clear support zone between $87,500 and $88,000. The price has formed a descending triangle, with lower highs set by a downward trendline from the January peak near $97,500. is easing:

  • RSI has recovered from oversold conditions near 30 to around 45–50
  • Candles near support show long lower wicks, signaling dip-buying interest
  • Selling volume has failed to expand on recent pullbacks

Bitcoin Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

However, BTC is still trading below the 50- and 100-period EMAs, which are NEAR $90,000 to $90,500. This means short-term risks remain until there is a confirmed breakout.

Breakout Levels That Could Trigger $100K Momentum

The market looks close to making a decisive move. If Bitcoin breaks above the descending trendline and the EMA cluster, momentum could quickly shift upward, opening the way to:

  • $93,300, then
  • $95,700, with momentum extension potential beyond

If Bitcoin fails to stay above $87,500, this outlook WOULD be delayed and the price could fall toward $86,100 and $84,100, where there is more buying interest.

Key levels traders are watching:

  • Support: $87,500 → $86,100
  • Resistance: $90,500 → $93,300

As long as Bitcoin keeps making higher lows above $86,000 and exchange inflows stay low, the market is more likely to see a period of tight trading before a big move, rather than widespread selling. When supply gets this tight, breakouts often happen quickly and can catch late traders off guard.

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