Bitcoin’s October Slump Sets Stage for November Rebound Rally

October's crypto bloodbath leaves Bitcoin battered—but not broken. The king cryptocurrency took a brutal hit last month, testing investor resolve and shaking out weak hands across exchanges.

The November Catalyst

Historical patterns suggest November could deliver the revenge rally bulls are craving. Seasonal trends combined with institutional accumulation during October's dip create the perfect storm for a comeback.

Market mechanics are priming for a squeeze. Short positions piled up during the decline now face liquidation pressure if Bitcoin reclaims key resistance levels. The setup mirrors previous recovery cycles where oversold conditions fueled explosive rebounds.

While traditional finance pundits clutch their pearls over volatility, crypto natives recognize the pattern—another buying opportunity disguised as catastrophe. Because nothing says 'financial revolution' like 30% monthly swings that would give Wall Street analysts heart palpitations.

The stage is set. Either November delivers crypto's phoenix moment or proves the bears right. Place your bets.

In Brief

• October 2025 marks bitcoin’s first closing decline since 2018, with a drop ranging from 3.35% to 3.69%.
• November, historically the best-performing month for bitcoin (+42.51% on average), could offer either a rebound or a 36.57% drop.
• In November 2025, bitcoin investors should watch the Fed’s upcoming decisions, ETF flows, and whale movements.

Why the “Uptober” 2025 disappointed bitcoin investors

October, nicknamed “Uptober” by the crypto community, disappointed expectations this year. Indeed, bitcoin recorded a drop between 3.35% and 3.69%, a rare performance since 2018. Several factors explain this setback:

• The massive liquidations, estimated near 19 billion dollars, played a key role, amplified by increased market volatility;
• Geopolitical tensions, notably the trade war between the United States and China, also weighed on prices.

Furthermore, buyer enthusiasm faded after months of relative stability, where bitcoin traded within a narrow range between 107,000 and 126,000 dollars. According to Kronos Research, this correction does not mark a trend break, but rather a temporary liquidity stress. Investors therefore remain divided between caution and opportunity.

November, the month of all records… or all drops?

Historically, November is the best-performing month for BTC, with an average increase of 42.51% since 2013. Because of this, bitcoin is expected to soar to 160,000 dollars during this month. However, this year, expectations are mixed. Some analysts anticipate a rebound, supported by the easing between the United States and China, as well as by the Fed’s recent 0.25% rate cut. Others, more cautious, fear a repeat of 2018, where November fell by 36.57% after a red October.

Key factors to watch include:

• The Fed’s next decisions in December;
• The dynamics around Bitcoin ETFs;
• The crypto market’s reactions to macroeconomic data like inflation and employment. 

Moreover, investors will need to track whale movements and liquidations to anticipate reversals.

Strategies for investors: buy, sell or wait?

Faced with this uncertainty, strategies vary. Optimistic buyers see current levels as an opportunity to accumulate, betting on a historic bitcoin rally in November. The more cautious prefer to wait for trend confirmation, such as a break of key resistances or supports.

Risks to avoid include FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) in case of a sudden rally, as well as panic in case of a new decline. Use of stop-loss orders is recommended to limit losses. Tools from Glassnode or CryptoQuant can help analyze on-chain data and Greed and Fear indicators, offering a clearer market view.

Finally, a red October does not necessarily mean a prolonged crypto winter. November remains a decisive month for bitcoin, where investors will have to navigate between opportunities and risks. The question remains open: will November 2025 be the month of revenge or decline for bitcoin?

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