Bitcoin’s Next Surge: How High Will It Climb After Today’s FOMC Meeting?

All eyes are on the Fed as Bitcoin traders brace for volatility. The Federal Open Market Committee's latest decision drops today—and the crypto market is holding its breath.

Decoding the Fed's Signal

Interest rates, inflation targets, and forward guidance. The FOMC's language doesn't just move traditional markets anymore. It sends shockwaves through digital asset portfolios. A dovish tilt could unleash a liquidity surge straight into Bitcoin's ecosystem. A hawkish stance might trigger a short-term flight to safety—or just another buying opportunity for the faithful.

The Macro-Crypto Tango

Forget the old rules. Bitcoin now dances to a complex tune of monetary policy and institutional adoption. Each Fed meeting tests the narrative: Is crypto a risk-on asset or an inflation hedge? The answer, as usual, depends on which trader you ask—and what their position is.

Price Discovery in a Policy Vacuum

Without a crystal ball, traders parse every Jerome Powell syllable. Technical charts meet macroeconomic forecasts. Support levels get tested against Fed balance sheet chatter. The resulting volatility isn't noise—it's the market repricing an entire asset class in real-time.

Beyond the Immediate Reaction

The real story unfolds in the weeks after the headlines fade. Does capital rotation accelerate? Do institutional flows confirm the knee-jerk reaction? The FOMC decision isn't an endpoint—it's a catalyst that reshapes portfolio allocations across both Wall Street and crypto-native funds. Sometimes it feels like we're just betting on the mood of a committee that still debates whether to put 'digital assets' in quotation marks.

Bitcoin's trajectory now hinges on a delicate balance: technological adoption versus traditional finance's quarterly anxiety. Today's meeting adds another chapter to that struggle—and another test of crypto's claim to financial independence.

Bitcoin traders are watching today’s Federal Reserve announcement closely. The FOMC is expected to cut interest rates by 0.25%, bringing the target range to 3.5%–3.75%. Rate cuts often lift risk assets like Bitcoin, but the market has a history of sharp swings on FOMC days.

This is a classic FOMC week. Traders often warn that pre-FOMC rallies can turn into traps. Strength looks real, but timing risk is high. Quick pumps and sudden reversals are common whenever the Fed gives forward guidance.

Earlier this week, the crypto fear index dropped to 10, signaling extreme fear in the market. Bitcoin then bounced from $86,700 and climbed back toward $92,300. The price is now forming a higher support base, giving bulls some momentum heading into the announcement.

One analyst said bitcoin is pushing toward an important resistance near $94,200. The analyst expects a clean breakout, followed by a retest of support, which could open the way toward $103,000.

Analyst Michaël van de Poppe pointed out that Bitcoin is lagging behind the Nasdaq even though they are usually correlated. Tech stocks and other high-beta assets have already recovered their losses from the recent market crash, but Bitcoin has not.

He said this creates a mispricing and could pull Bitcoin higher. He also argued that the recent drop from $115,000 to $80,000 happened too fast, and that broader risk-on appetite is returning.

If the FOMC cuts rates and signals more easing ahead, Bitcoin could retest $94,000, break higher, and then MOVE toward the $100,000–$103,000 region.

Over the coming weeks, experts expect Bitcoin to climb back into the $110,000–$115,000 range and erase the entire correction.