Trump’s Next Fed Chair Pick: Kevin Warsh or Hassett? The Crypto Market Waits.

The Fed's top seat is up for grabs—and the crypto world is watching with bated breath.

Speculation is swirling around former Fed governor Kevin Warsh and economist Kevin Hassett as frontrunners for the nomination. Both names carry weight, but their policy leanings could send very different signals to digital asset markets.

Policy Ghosts in the Machine

Warsh's history suggests a hawkish tilt, a potential headwind for risk assets. Hassett's views are less defined but carry the whiff of political alignment. The real question isn't just who gets the chair, but what tune they'll play on monetary policy.

The Digital Asset Angle

For crypto, the Fed's direction is everything. Loose policy fuels the fire; tight policy snuffs it out. A surprise pick could trigger volatility, while a predictable one might just get a collective shrug from traders who've seen this show before.

The decision looms. Markets hate uncertainty, but they love a narrative—even if it's just another chapter in the long, cynical saga of finance where the house always wins. Place your bets.

Source: X (formerly Twitter) 

The timing matters. With markets already uneasy after the latest FOMC meeting, Trump’s remarks have added another layer of uncertainty especially for crypto investors.

Next Fed Chair in Focus as Trump Fuels Exit Talk Before May 2026

Jerome Powell’s term as Fed chair is set to end in May 2026, but Trump’s comments have raised a simple question: Could Powell leave earlier?

Trump told reporters that both candidates are strong choices, but said Kevin Warsh is currently at the top of his list. Warsh is a former Fed Governor, while Kevin Hassett is a senior WHITE House economic advisor who has worked closely with the president in the past.

Trump also made his position on interest rates very clear. He said the next Fed chair should talk with him about rate decisions, and that interest rates should be cut to 1% or even lower within a year. That statement alone has pushed investors to rethink what future central bank's policy could look like.

What Prediction Markets Are Saying

Trump’s comments are not the only signal markets are watching. On Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction platform, traders are placing bets on who they believe will become the next Fed chair.

Source: Polymarket 

Right now, Kevin Warsh leads the odds, with Kevin Hassett behind him. These numbers do not mean a decision has been made. Instead, they show how people are positioning their money based on current political signals. In crypto circles, Polymarket is often used as a way to track early market sentiment.

The Latest FOMC Meeting Didn’t Calm Nerves

This debate comes just days after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25%, bringing the upper rate down to 3.75%. While the cut was expected, the message from the Central Bank was mixed.

Two officials voted against the cut, while one wanted a bigger move. The Fed’s own projections now suggest only one more rate cut in 2026, which has left traders unsure about what comes next. Powell said the Central Bank is comfortable waiting, which suggests January may bring no new rate changes.

Why This Matters for Crypto Investors

For crypto markets, interest rates matter a lot. Lower rates usually help Bitcoin and other risk assets. Trump’s call for 1% rates sounds positive for crypto in the long term, but the lack of clarity is hurting sentiment right now.

In the past 24 hours, the crypto market fell 2.31%, adding to a 10.38% drop this month. Bitcoin saw over $71 million in long positions liquidated, and traders reduced exposure. Bitcoin ETF holdings also fell by $3.5 billion this week, showing that big investors are staying cautious.

What Comes Next?

Markets are now watching the PCE inflation report, future statements, and any new comments from Trump about the next Fed chair. The biggest question remains unanswered: Will Powell stay until May 2026, or will pressure build for an earlier change?

Until there is more clarity, both crypto and traditional markets are likely to stay volatile.

This article is for informational purposes only, kindly do your own research before investing.