PlanB’s Bold Forecast: Bitcoin to Hit $300K Before 2027—Here’s Why It’s Not Crazy
Bitcoin's next bull run could make previous all-time highs look like pocket change. Anonymous quant analyst PlanB—famous for the stock-to-flow model—just doubled down on a $300,000 price target by end-2026. That’s a 5x surge from today’s levels in under 18 months.
The Math Behind the Madness
PlanB’s track record speaks for itself. The model nailed Bitcoin’s 2021 peak within months—back when skeptics called $60K ‘delusional.’ Now, with institutional adoption accelerating and ETFs swallowing supply, the $300K call seems less like hopium and more like spreadsheet reality.
Wall Street’s Worst Nightmare
Imagine explaining to a Goldman Sachs MD that an internet token with no CEO will outpace their entire commodities desk. Again. The real twist? This time, BlackRock’s the one buying the dip.
Whether you believe the hype or not, one thing’s clear: Bitcoin keeps rewriting finance’s rulebook—while traditional bankers keep misreading it.
$115,192 was valued at $115,043. In the past, PlanB faced skepticism and ridicule, especially when his predictions for late 2021 did not materialize as anticipated in 2022.
Contents2026 Bitcoin price TargetS2F Model and Price RangeRealized Price Indicator
2026 Bitcoin Price Target
During a strategic session, PlanB noted that a significant portion of investors doubts Bitcoin will reach the $300,000 mark by 2026. Emphasizing his contrasting viewpoint, PlanB shared his higher expectations for Bitcoin’s future value, aligning with his long-standing predictions.
PlanB: “Currently, 60% of people think bitcoin won’t hit $300,000 by 2026. I believe it will, approaching our stock-to-flow model target of around $500,000.”
The stock-to-flow model PlanB developed is rooted in analyzing scarcity. While traditionally used for commodities, PlanB claims to have pioneered its application to Bitcoin. His model found success in 2021, but subsequent months saw it criticized and mocked as Bitcoin did not align with predictions.
S2F Model and Price Range
The stock-to-flow model operates on the premise that an asset’s scarcity influences its price. PlanB projects a bitcoin price range between $250,000 and $1 million based on this model. Highlighting the average, he indicates the expected price is higher than most anticipate.
PlanB: “The model predicts a range between $250,000 and $1 million, with an average around $300,000 to $600,000. I expect it to rise higher than many assume.”
Realized Price Indicator
PlanB also mentioned the “realized price” indicator, an on-chain metric for Bitcoin. This indicator tracks the last prices at which Bitcoin was traded, offering an average value. Currently, Bitcoin prices are above all major realized price groups, indicating strength.
PlanB: “This pattern is typical of classic bull markets. The two-year average is above the realized price; the six-month average is above the two-year, and Bitcoin is above all. Therefore, there’s no negative market signal right now.”
According to PlanB, the current Bitcoin price surpassing realized price indicators suggests no adverse market signal under existing conditions. Historically, this structure may indicate a continuing bullish trend.
In summary, PlanB’s forecast significantly exceeds common expectations. Although the stock-to-flow model remains a point of contention, Bitcoin’s price isn’t obliged to follow any fixed model. If PlanB proves correct, Bitcoin reaching $300,000 could lead to numerous validations of his prediction model.
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