Trade Tensions Fuel Market Volatility: What’s Next for Global Finance?

Markets reel as trade tensions escalate—liquidity evaporates, algorithms panic-buy, and hedge funds scramble to reposition. Here’s how the chaos unfolds.

The Domino Effect

Tariff threats trigger flash crashes. Supply chain snarls morph into margin calls. Even crypto isn’t immune—BTC swings 8% on vague geopolitical headlines.

Who Profits?

Short sellers feast on weak hands. OTC desks report record volume (of course they do). Meanwhile, retail traders get steamrolled—again.

The Cynical Take

Wall Street’s ‘risk management’ teams suddenly remember macroeconomics exists—just in time to justify their bonuses. How convenient.

Tariff Announcements

Following discussions between China and the United States, officials from both countries have made statements. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) emphasized that tariffs will significantly impact American consumers through the remainder of the year. Should recent inflation trends persist, this could prompt the Federal Reserve to refrain from further interest rate cuts.

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Tomorrow, we anticipate statements from Jerome Powell, who has previously stated, “If inflation does not continue to decline, we should refrain from cutting rates and wait.” Therefore, it is possible that interest rate cuts may not occur in September, leading BTC to oscillate below $118,000.

Statements from Participants

China’s Chief Trade Negotiator, Li, was the first to speak to the press post-meeting. Li advised both countries to effectively utilize the trade consultation mechanism and affirmed that the discussions were very sincere. He stressed the necessity of maintaining healthy, stable relations and highlighted mutual agreement on this matter. His statement included key points such as:

“We reviewed the implementation of the Geneva agreement and engaged in comprehensive economic and macroeconomic discussions. Both parties shared economic and trade concerns candidly and expressed their desire to extend the suspension of reciprocal tariffs, committing to ongoing communication.”

Following this, U.S. Trade Representative Greer and subsequently Bessent provided their insights. Greer mentioned:

“We are discussing the specifics of suspending tariffs with China. Improvements in the supply of magnets are evident for U.S. companies. There should be no issues with their availability. We wish to continue importing magnets without further discussion on this matter.

Once the matter of magnets is resolved, we can proceed to more detailed talks. No agreement was reached regarding export controls.

A 90-day extension (November 10) could be among the options President TRUMP might approve.”

U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent is actively monitoring discussions with China and will meet with President Trump tomorrow to discuss tariff suspensions.

“Tomorrow, I will discuss with Trump regarding the suspension of tariffs with China. Some technical details regarding China’s tariff suspensions remain. Ultimately, it’s Trump’s decision to extend the suspension.

We hope China’s five-year plan includes rebalancing efforts. More substantial actions could have been taken on fentanyl. We aim to see lasting progress. If Trump doesn’t approve the tariff suspension moratorium, duties on Chinese goods will revert to April 2 levels or another level of his choice.

Another meeting may occur with China in 90 days. We are displeased with China’s purchase of Russian oil. There was no discussion on TikTok. We expressed dissatisfaction with China’s acquisition of 90% of Iran’s oil.

We treat export controls separately from trade. China does not acknowledge being a producer surplus affecting the rest of the world.

We expressed regret over China’s sale of dual-use technology. The overall atmosphere of the meetings was constructive. China was surprised by the magnitude of agreements we’ve made. We do not wish to sever ties with China, but we aim to implement risk reduction strategies on some matters.”